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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2dda38...f23b34FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2284–931, n=3215)54% (448–384, n=832)55% (394–322, n=716)
Consensus PnL$0$430K$332K$426K
Tracked asPM monthly #979PM monthly #13PM monthly #10PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (155 of 321 open)65% (175 of 271 open)53% (95 of 179 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%71% of 604 at avg 54¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 396)1% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 215)31% (won 100% of 70)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 63% of 112)60% (won 100% of 135)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 265)7% (won 100% of 16)20% (won 98% of 118)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

73 on the same side, 67 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2dda38...f23b34FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $23Kraken $1.2KKraken $341
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $397Miami (FL) $48Duke $388
Nets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $4.3KNets $5.4KNets $25K
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $98Nets $3.7KNets $8.6K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $38K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $19KOver $12K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $6.1KOver $15K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $1.3K—Nets $16K
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $10KCavaliers $5.7K—
Will Poland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $12K—Yes $3.4K
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.6K—Yes $13K
Spread: Alabama (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Vanderbilt $5.7KAlabama $3.5K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina
—Arkansas State $387Coastal Carolina $8.4K—
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $537Over $7.9K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $314Under $8.0K—
Will Austria win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $6.9K—Yes $516
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $6.5KArkansas $712
UAB vs. Temple: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $2.5K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.3KOver $755
Duke vs. Miami (FL): O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.8KOver $103
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.3K—Over $4.4K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $103Heat $5.1K
Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KOver $1.2K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $4.7KPelicans $74
Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
——Miami (FL) $4.1KDuke $540
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.4KOver $3
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.5K—Under $562
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.6KUnder $121
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
——Washington $3.0KMichigan State $610
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $831Virginia Tech $2.8K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.3KUnder $239
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
——UConn $2.2KJames Madison $1.2K
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.1KOver $1.0K
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $420Pistons $2.7K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $1.1K
East Carolina vs. Charlotte: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $2.6KUnder $133
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $518—Yes $2.1K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $2
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
——Ohio State $363Northwestern $1.8K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $186—Over $1.9K
Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
——San Francisco Dons $1.0KPortland State Vikings $1.1K
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
——Alabama $695Vanderbilt $983
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $1.5KStanford $53
Spread: Denmark (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Denmark $669—Portugal $799
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $958—Mavericks $120
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $250Heat $790
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $625South Carolina $263—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $263—Oklahoma $507