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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x091E5Bb3B1e8239d734DC59647Ca87f0EbE149e0-1779887425700keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (551–602, n=1153)85% (22–4, n=26)55% (430–355, n=785)
Consensus PnL$0$482K$367K$344K
Tracked asPM monthly #968PM monthly #18PM monthly #142PM monthly #128
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position61% (84 of 137 open)0% (0 of 1 open)56% (103 of 185 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x091E5Bb3B1e8239d734DC59647Ca87f0EbE149e0-1779887425700keeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14nigiri99
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Gen.G $9.1KBilibili Gaming $25Gen.G $3.8K
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $2.8K—Washington $93K
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Tennessee $53K—Texas A&M $1.5K
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $22K—Under $118
Spread: Tennessee (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Tennessee $18K—Texas A&M $275
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $9.9K—Bruins $6
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $4.7K—Stanford $4.4K
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Kentucky $940—Florida $6.7K
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $43—Yes $6.7K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $5.7K—Heat $782
Oilers vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Maple Leafs $5.5K—Oilers $20
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $181—Nets $5.2K
Games Total: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.3K—Over $2.8K
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—USC $2.5K—Indiana $1.6K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Avalanche $2.4K—Canadiens $1.6K
UFC 334: Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Melquizael Costa
—Melquizael Costa $3.7K—Jared Gordon $129
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.5K—Over $1
Jacksonville State vs. Western Kentucky: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Under $2.4K
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
—Tulane $584—Rice $2.2K
Spread: Panthers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Blues
—Blues $2.0K—Panthers $622
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.3K—Yes $37
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $881—Under $931
Jets vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $1.8K—Jets $7
UFC 334: Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Evan Elder
—Samuel Sanches $375—Evan Elder $1.3K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $692—Over $794
Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $121—Over $1.2K
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Amanda Nunes
—Kayla Harrison $298—Amanda Nunes $376
Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $575—Middle Tennessee $29
Arizona State vs. UCF
opposite sides · consensus UCF
—Arizona State $122—UCF $187
Nevada vs. Northern Illinois: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1—Over $200
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Mississippi State $86—Auburn $44
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears
opposite sides · consensus California Golden Bears
—California Golden Bears $6—Utah Tech Trailblazers $8
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
—Kansas $63K—Kansas $338
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $11K—Nets $18K
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $9.6K—Stars $15K
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
same side · consensus San Jose State
—San Jose State $16K—San Jose State $853
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $15K—Over $521
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—USC $15K—USC $2
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $12K—Georgia State $497
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Gen.G $8.2K—Gen.G $2.1K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $6.4K—Virginia Tech $2.8K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $6.7K—Arkansas $726
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.3K—Over $748
Panthers vs. Blues
same side · consensus Blues
—Blues $4.5K—Blues $514
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
same side · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $4.0K—Georgia State $544
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.4K—Under $2.9K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $254—Georgia State $2.1K
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
—Kevin Holland $238—Kevin Holland $1.7K
UFC 334: Alatengheili vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)
same side · consensus Juan Diaz
—Alatengheili $209—Alatengheili $1.2K
Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
—Boston College $53—Boston College $879