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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| 0x091E5Bb3B1e8239d734DC59647Ca87f0EbE149e0-1779887425700 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (471–414, n=885) | 55% (430–355, n=785) |
| Consensus PnL | $0 | $358K | $344K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #968 | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #128 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 62% (145 of 233 open) | 55% (101 of 182 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
44 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x091E5Bb3B1e8239d734DC59647Ca87f0EbE149e0-1779887425700 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | Michigan State $24K | Washington $93K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $12K | Nets $5.2K |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $212 | Under $13K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $6.1K |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $221 | Over $8.4K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $6.5K | Arkansas $726 |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas A&M | — | Tennessee $6.1K | Texas A&M $596 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.8K | Over $748 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Nuggets $4.7K | Pelicans $1.3K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Stanford $4.4K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Over $1.9K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | Under $1.1K |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | — | Georgia Southern $5.0K | Georgia State $544 |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.6K | Under $3.8K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $106 | Heat $5.1K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.4K | Under $361 |
| Boston College vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $3.2K | Over $1.4K |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.4K | Over $1 |
| Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.3K | Over $2.0K |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.5K | Under $118 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $831 | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.8K | USC $2 |
| Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.4K | Over $1.2K |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.9K | Wyoming $656 |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | Over $262 |
| Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | San Francisco Dons $1.0K | Portland State Vikings $1.2K |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.8K | Wyoming $403 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Ducks $1.8K | Islanders $218 |
| Arizona State vs. UCF opposite sides · consensus UCF | — | Arizona State $1.8K | UCF $187 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $1.4K | North Dakota State $85 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $529 | Under $931 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $522 | Stanford $877 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $572 | Under $605 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $252 | Heat $782 |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | — | Mississippi State $411 | Auburn $377 |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $667 | Over $76 |
| Brown Bears vs. Siena Saints opposite sides · consensus Siena Saints | — | Siena Saints $520 | Brown Bears $222 |
| Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Northern Kentucky Norse opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas | — | Central Michigan Chippewas $600 | Northern Kentucky Norse $125 |
| Spread: Indiana (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus USC | — | Indiana $5 | USC $620 |
| Spread: Air Force (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Air Force | — | San Jose State $251 | Air Force $318 |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Georgia State | — | Georgia Southern $57 | Georgia State $497 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $208 | Heat $332 |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $292 | Under $17 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $258 | Arkansas $12 |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Georgia State | — | Georgia Southern $2 | Georgia State $220 |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty opposite sides · consensus Liberty | — | Liberty $163 | Middle Tennessee $29 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $150 | Over $13 |
| Jets vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks | — | Blackhawks $129 | Jets $7 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) same side · consensus Nets | — | Nets $17K | Nets $23K |
| Appalachian State vs. Marshall: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.0K | Under $15K |