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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x091E5Bb3B1e8239d734DC59647Ca87f0EbE149e0-1779887425700FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2503–1011, n=3514)53% (471–414, n=885)55% (430–355, n=785)
Consensus PnL$0$488K$358K$344K
Tracked asPM monthly #968PM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #128
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position47% (77 of 165 open)63% (148 of 235 open)56% (103 of 185 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

58 on the same side, 71 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x091E5Bb3B1e8239d734DC59647Ca87f0EbE149e0-1779887425700FlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $310Nets $17KNets $23K
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia State $6Georgia Southern $5.0KGeorgia State $544
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $637South Carolina $258Arkansas $12
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2Nets $10Nets $544
Jets vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $134Blackhawks $129Jets $7
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
—Kansas $6Kansas $13KKansas $338
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $374Texas Tech $1.1KTexas Tech $177
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
——Michigan State $24KWashington $93K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $1.4K—Nets $19K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $146—Nets $18K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $12KNets $5.2K
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $11KCavaliers $5.3K—
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $212Under $13K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $6.1K
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $221Over $8.4K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $310Under $8.1K—
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.3K—Yes $6.7K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $6.5KArkansas $726
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas A&M
——Tennessee $6.1KTexas A&M $596
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.8KOver $748
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
——Nuggets $4.7KPelicans $1.3K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
——Virginia Tech $1.5KStanford $4.4K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KOver $1.9K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KUnder $3.8K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $106Heat $5.1K
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.4KUnder $361
Boston College vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $3.2KOver $1.4K
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.4KOver $1
Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.3KOver $2.0K
Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.7K—Over $2.4K
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.5KUnder $118
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $831Virginia Tech $2.8K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.8KUSC $2
Missouri vs. Georgia: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KOver $1.2K
Spread: Wyoming (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
——UTEP $1.9KWyoming $656
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.2KOver $262
Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
——San Francisco Dons $1.0KPortland State Vikings $1.2K
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
——UTEP $1.8KWyoming $403
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Ducks $1.8KIslanders $218
Arizona State vs. UCF
opposite sides · consensus UCF
——Arizona State $1.8KUCF $187
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
——Hawai'i $1.4KNorth Dakota State $85
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $529Under $931
Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
——Virginia Tech $522Stanford $877
UFC 334: Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches (Lightweight, Early Prelims)
opposite sides · consensus Evan Elder
—Samuel Sanches $69—Evan Elder $1.3K
LSU Tigers vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
—Gonzaga Bulldogs $1.2KLSU Tigers $2—
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $209Under $984—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $572Under $605
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $252Heat $782