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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x091E5Bb3B1e8239d734DC59647Ca87f0EbE149e0-1779887425700HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (471–414, n=885)48% (551–602, n=1153)
Consensus PnL$0$358K$482K
Tracked asPM monthly #968PM monthly #9PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (145 of 233 open)61% (80 of 131 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x091E5Bb3B1e8239d734DC59647Ca87f0EbE149e0-1779887425700HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Texas A&M $7.5KTennessee $40K
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $7.4KUnder $11K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.8KUSC $15K
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $339Texas $15K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia Southern $57Georgia State $14K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State
opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern
—Georgia Southern $5.0KGeorgia State $7.8K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.8KOver $5.3K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $544Wild $9.9K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $826Flyers $8.8K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $1.3KTimberwolves $7.4K
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $5.8KUSC $2.5K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.1KOver $124
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.4K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $831Virginia Tech $6.4K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $2.1K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $3.5KMavericks $1.4K
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
—LSU Tigers $1.9KGonzaga Bulldogs $2.6K
USC vs. Indiana: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $3.3K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.4K
Spread: Washington (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $2Washington $2.3K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.8KIslanders $203
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
—Northern Kentucky Norse $6Central Michigan Chippewas $1.4K
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $18Kentucky $1.2K
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $984Over $32
Spread: Oregon (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan
—Oregon $108Michigan $783
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
—Rice $305Tulane $584
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Texas A&M $360Tennessee $502
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $124Under $692
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13Over $440
Auburn vs. Mississippi State
opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State
—Auburn $4Mississippi State $86
Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears
opposite sides · consensus California Golden Bears
—Utah Tech Trailblazers $46California Golden Bears $6
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus Kansas
—Kansas $13KKansas $60K
Nevada vs. Northern Illinois
same side · consensus Nevada
—Nevada $2.9KNevada $47K
Spread: Texas State (-9.5)
same side · consensus Texas State
—Texas State $15KTexas State $23K
Washington vs. Michigan State
same side · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $24KMichigan State $2.8K
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.5KOver $22K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.2KOver $15K
Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico State
—New Mexico State $2.2KNew Mexico State $12K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $12KGrizzlies $181
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Red Wings
—Lightning $765Lightning $9.9K
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-17.5)
same side · consensus Southern Miss
—Southern Miss $40Southern Miss $8.1K
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.4KUnder $3.5K
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $704New Mexico $6.5K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Stanford
—Virginia Tech $1.5KVirginia Tech $4.7K
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $252Pistons $5.7K
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $685Over $3.4K
Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)
same side · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia State $2.9KGeorgia State $993
Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
—Boston College $2.2KBoston College $53
Jets vs. Blackhawks
same side · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $129Blackhawks $1.8K