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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
eleonorrigbyFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)59% (10–7, n=17)71% (3118–1302, n=4420)47% (735–824, n=1559)62% (16–10, n=26)
Consensus PnL$34K$661K$653K$663K
Tracked asPM monthly #922PM monthly #7PM monthly #16was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)54% (108 of 199 open)52% (56 of 108 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=653——
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +42%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%94% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 5% of 566)5% (won 100% of 23)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 2)24% (won 38% of 335)34% (won 100% of 161)50% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 62% of 157)52% (won 100% of 243)38% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 326)9% (won 100% of 42)6% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketeleonorrigbyFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $937Lakers $58K—
Spread: Lakers (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $1.2KSuns $13K—
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $250Clippers $11K—
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $376Lakers $11K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $539Knicks $8.4K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $143Wizards $8.5K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $6.6K—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $397Jazz $6.7K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Celtics $5.2KMavericks $1.0K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $2.0KClippers $2.7K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $149Under $3.1K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Lakers $1.2KSuns $1.2K—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K—
Champaign: Nicholas Mekhael vs Keshav Chopra
opposite sides · consensus Keshav Chopra
—Keshav Chopra $1.0KNicholas Mekhael $647—
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan Broncos
—Western Michigan Broncos $1.2KSouthern Indiana Screaming Eagles $44—
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Jazz $113Spurs $1.1K—
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
—Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $20—
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $956Lakers $196—
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
—Wisconsin Badgers $4Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $1.1K—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10Under $857—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $611Under $100—
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $450Lakers $59—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 201.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $60Under $416—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $79Under $243—
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $136Hornets $149—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $142Under $2—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $110Under $4—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $44Under $26—
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $12Jazz $14—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14Under $8—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 199.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8Under $4—
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $17—Cowboys $66K
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $4.2KLakers $22K—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.2KJazz $16K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $517Over $7.9K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $757Lakers $5.7K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KUnder $698—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 205.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $391Under $727—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.1KJazz $14—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $617Under $6—
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $202Hornets $322—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $66Spurs $399—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $56Under $107—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $116Under $6—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 203.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $54Under $57—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 209.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $58Under $16—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $60Under $1—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5Under $56—