Western Michigan Broncos vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

8 of 13 top Polymarket traders hold Western Michigan Broncos (62%) · Western Michigan Broncos at 93¢ · $3K held · ended Nov 15

Western Michigan Broncos93¢Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles7¢Ended Sun, Nov 15, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚠️

Avoid

Western Michigan Broncos

Consensus Traders

Western Michigan Broncos 62%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.9K

Combined PnL

$185.16

Smart Money Entry

80.6¢ → 92.5¢

+15% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

AvoidWestern Michigan Broncos at 93%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Western Michigan Broncos

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Western Michigan Broncos93%

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles8%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Western Michigan Broncos8 traders

Total Value$1.8K

Total Shares2,028

Combined PnL+$188.56

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles5 traders

Total Value$644

Total Shares1,350

Combined PnL-$3.4

Western Michigan Broncos — 62%Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles — 38%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+7 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 90%

Freshness

Fresh

8h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

57% of non-arb traders are on Western Michigan Broncos. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 90% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrSouthern Indiana Screaming Eagles 67% · 3

Diverging

Top 1000Western Michigan Broncos 57% · 7

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Western Michigan Broncosavg 80¢	$1.1K	$1.3K	+$174.86	48% 4837-5163 (10000)
NO NotJumpCTR	Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesavg 50¢	$525	$485.48	+$0.47	50% 1210-1232 (2442)
SN SnakeBallARB<$100	Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesavg 23.6¢	$440.59	$450.47	+$9.88	46% 1242-1436 (2678)
└ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles leg	Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesavg 23.6¢	$224.51	$228.55	+$4.04
└ Western Michigan Broncos leg	Western Michigan Broncosavg 74¢	$216.08	$221.92	+$5.84
TH thirdt1me	Western Michigan Broncosavg 83.5¢	$169.07	$171.68	+$2.6	47% 384-428 (812)
38 38791873984189<$100	Western Michigan Broncosavg 84¢	$98.25	$99.23	+$0.97	48% 4069-4469 (8538)
SU suntori<$100	Western Michigan Broncosavg 86.7¢	$95.23	$93.4	-$1.83	46% 3415-3955 (7370)
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100	Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesavg 26¢	$81.12	$74.88	-$6.24	44% 350-441 (791)
FE ferdinand2<$100	Western Michigan Broncosavg 80.9¢	$51.63	$59.04	+$7.41	48% 2658-2887 (5545)
PA Pan9X<$100	Western Michigan Broncosavg 83.7¢	$52.62	$52.12	-$0.5	50% 2219-2233 (4452)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100	Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesavg 15¢	$49.6	$51.26	+$1.65	49% 2903-2977 (5880)
0xheavy888<$100	Western Michigan Broncosavg 72¢	$37.79	$39.89	+$2.1	56% 695-541 (1236)
HO HomeRunHazard<$100	Western Michigan Broncosavg 70¢	$34.3	$37.24	+$2.94	56% 3932-3108 (7040)
RN1CTR<$100	Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesavg 12.7¢	$16.96	$20.62	+$3.66	54% 6103-5202 (11305)
FO forecastication4CTR<$100	Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesavg 30¢	$14.7	$11.76	-$2.94	36% 210-368 (578)

Flaznorp

Western Michigan Broncos

Invested

$1,122.2

Value

$1.3K

PnL

+$174.86

Record

48%

4837-5163 (10000)

NotJumpCTR

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

Invested

$525

Value

$485.48

PnL

+$0.47

Record

50%

1210-1232 (2442)

SnakeBallARB<$100

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

Invested

$440.59

Value

$450.47

PnL

+$9.88

Record

46%

1242-1436 (2678)

Both legs:

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles$224.5123.6¢+$4.04

Western Michigan Broncos$216.0874¢+$5.84

thirdt1me

Western Michigan Broncos

Invested

$169.07

Value

$171.68

PnL

+$2.6

Record

47%

384-428 (812)

38791873984189<$100

Western Michigan Broncos

Invested

$98.25

Value

$99.23

PnL

+$0.97

Record

48%

4069-4469 (8538)

suntori<$100

Western Michigan Broncos

Invested

$95.23

Value

$93.4

PnL

-$1.83

Record

46%

3415-3955 (7370)

Forecastication2CTR<$100

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

Invested

$81.12

Value

$74.88

PnL

-$6.24

Record

44%

350-441 (791)

ferdinand2<$100

Western Michigan Broncos

Invested

$51.63

Value

$59.04

PnL

+$7.41

Record

48%

2658-2887 (5545)

Pan9X<$100

Western Michigan Broncos

Invested

$52.62

Value

$52.12

PnL

-$0.5

Record

50%

2219-2233 (4452)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR<$100

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

Invested

$49.6

Value

$51.26

PnL

+$1.65

Record

49%

2903-2977 (5880)

0xheavy888<$100

Western Michigan Broncos

Invested

$37.79

Value

$39.89

PnL

+$2.1

Record

56%

695-541 (1236)

HomeRunHazard<$100

Western Michigan Broncos

Invested

$34.3

Value

$37.24

PnL

+$2.94

Record

56%

3932-3108 (7040)

RN1CTR<$100

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

Invested

$16.96

Value

$20.62

PnL

+$3.66

Record

54%

6103-5202 (11305)

forecastication4CTR<$100

Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles

Invested

$14.7

Value

$11.76

PnL

-$2.94

Record

36%

210-368 (578)

Research grade

AvoidWestern Michigan Broncos at 93%

Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.

BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Western Michigan Broncos

8 of 13 top traders (62%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+7 pts consensus

Breadth

4 traders

Top 2 hold 90%

Freshness

Fresh

8h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

57% of non-arb traders are on Western Michigan Broncos. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 90% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrSouthern Indiana Screaming Eagles 67% · 3

Diverging

Top 1000Western Michigan Broncos 57% · 7

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Western Michigan Broncos wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance93.8%

92.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$6.61

Max Loss

-$100.00

106.6

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.