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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
bbcvvcbvFlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)86% (18–3, n=21)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)53% (481–419, n=900)55% (433–356, n=789)
Consensus PnL$23K$501K$363K$365K
Tracked asPM monthly #854PM monthly #13PM monthly #7PM monthly #137
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)46% (80 of 173 open)64% (147 of 230 open)56% (104 of 186 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

60 on the same side, 61 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbbcvvcbvFlaznorpHomeRunHazardnigiri99
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $637South Carolina $258Arkansas $12
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $2Nets $11Nets $579
Jets vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Blackhawks
—Blackhawks $121Blackhawks $121Jets $8
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $374Texas Tech $1.1KTexas Tech $177
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1KColts $3
Washington vs. Michigan State
opposite sides · consensus Washington
——Michigan State $32KWashington $80K
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $310—Nets $21K
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $1.5K—Nets $18K
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $13KCavaliers $6.5K—
Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $174Under $15K
Oregon State vs. Boise State
opposite sides · consensus Oregon State
——Boise State $10KOregon State $934
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $6.1K
Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $221Over $8.4K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $358Under $8.1K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
——South Carolina $7.4KArkansas $740
Will United States win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $32—Yes $7.3K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.6KOver $784
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
——Virginia Tech $1.5KStanford $4.4K
San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KOver $1.9K
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K
Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.6KUnder $3.8K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $106Heat $5.2K
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $10Cavaliers $5.0K—
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.4KUnder $369
Boston College vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.6KOver $2.0K
Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2—Over $4.5K
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.4KOver $1
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.5KUnder $118
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $866Virginia Tech $2.8K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.8KUSC $3
Spread: Wyoming (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
——UTEP $1.9KWyoming $656
North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.2KOver $273
Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
——San Francisco Dons $1.0KPortland State Vikings $1.2K
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP
——UTEP $1.8KWyoming $403
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Ducks $1.9KIslanders $218
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $1.9K—Nuggets $98
Arizona State vs. UCF
opposite sides · consensus Arizona State
——Arizona State $1.8KUCF $122
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $1.7K—Mavericks $145
Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
——Hawai'i $1.4KNorth Dakota State $86
Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $529Under $931
Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stanford
——Virginia Tech $522Stanford $877
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $572Under $633
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $252Heat $782
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $665Under $289
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Georgia State
——Georgia Southern $57Georgia State $843
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $260—Oklahoma $507
Brown Bears vs. Siena Saints
opposite sides · consensus Siena Saints
——Siena Saints $520Brown Bears $222
Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $660Over $76
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $94—Timberwolves $545
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
—Providence Friars $125—Colorado Buffaloes $492