← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 52% (12–11, n=23) | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 48% (446–481, n=927) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $567K | $410K | $521K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 51% (110 of 216 open) | 51% (41 of 80 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 6% (won 100% of 19) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 37% (won 100% of 110) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 31% (won 100% of 4) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 50% (won 100% of 150) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 7% (won 100% of 22) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | — | Predators $333 | Golden Knights $11K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $8.2K | Warriors $241 |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 242.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.3K | Under $22 |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $251 | Rockets $1.4K |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Gorzny | — | — | August Holmgren $727 | Sebastian Gorzny $630 |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | — | Thunder $336 | Clippers $593 |
| Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide | — | — | Alabama Crimson Tide $703 | Seton Hall Pirates $210 |
| Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels | — | — | UNLV Runnin' Rebels $822 | Stanford Cardinal $19 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $801 | Under $21 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $793 | Over $2 |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $608 | Warriors $2 |
| UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels | — | — | Saint Mary's Gaels $328 | UIC Flames $2 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $76 | Trail Blazers $19 |
| Spread: Rockets (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | — | Rockets $54 | Jazz $6 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $6 | Under $23 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.5K | Under $51K |
| Rangers vs. Canucks same side · consensus Rangers | — | — | Rangers $1.5K | Rangers $39K |
| Spread: Rangers (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | — | Rangers $221 | Rangers $35K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $1.1K | Spurs $24K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $185 | Kings $22K |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $505 | Over $19K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.9K | Under $2.3K |
| Spread: Rockets (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $1.9K | Jazz $1.1K |
| Spread: Rockets (-13.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $2.3K | Jazz $375 |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.4K | Over $5 |
| Thunder vs. Clippers same side · consensus Thunder | — | — | Clippers $1.5K | Clippers $264 |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $1.8K | Jazz $10 |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $1.1K | Clippers $355 |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $545 | Clippers $910 |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $560 | Spurs $746 |
| Spread: Rockets (-14.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | — | Jazz $382 | Jazz $823 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $599 | Kings $16 |
| W50 Yokohama: Kanon Sawashiro vs Heather Watson same side · consensus Heather Watson | — | — | Kanon Sawashiro $507 | Kanon Sawashiro $57 |
| Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 8.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $25 | Over $415 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $334 | Kings $5 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $220 | Clippers $25 |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Warriors $124 | Warriors $113 |
| Spread: Rockets (-1.5) same side · consensus Rockets | — | — | Jazz $175 | Jazz $59 |
| Spread: Spurs (-28.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | — | Spurs $138 | Spurs $19 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $133 | Under $4 |
| Spread: Predators (-1.5) same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | — | Predators $86 | Predators $3 |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | — | Warriors $4 | Warriors $77 |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | — | Clippers $52 | Clippers $5 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $37 | Under $3 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Kings $17 | Kings $2 |