← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 48% (446–481, n=927) | 59% (40–28, n=68) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $410K | $521K | $532K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #15 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 51% (111 of 216 open) | 49% (39 of 80 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44% | 100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 37% (won 100% of 110) | 33% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 50% (won 100% of 150) | 44% (won 100% of 17) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 21% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
28 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $1.8K | Clippers $352 | Thunder $244K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $8.2K | Warriors $241 | Warriors $3.4K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $635 | Clippers $1.0K | Thunder $6.6K |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $481 | Trail Blazers $31K | — |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Predators | — | Predators $333 | Golden Knights $11K | — |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Gorzny | — | August Holmgren $1.6K | Sebastian Gorzny $630 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $214 | Rockets $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $283 | Clippers $678 | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $801 | Under $21 | — |
| Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide | — | Alabama Crimson Tide $703 | Seton Hall Pirates $83 | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $780 | Over $2 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $608 | Warriors $2 | — |
| UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels | — | Saint Mary's Gaels $424 | UIC Flames $2 | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $71 | Over $38 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $91 | Trail Blazers $17 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Rockets $60 | Jazz $6 | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | Under $23 | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Under $50K | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks same side · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $1.5K | Rangers $39K | — |
| Spread: Rangers (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | Rangers $221 | Rangers $35K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.0K | Spurs $24K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $239 | Kings $22K | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $505 | Over $18K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | Under $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-17.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.9K | Jazz $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-13.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $2.4K | Jazz $377 | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $2.4K | Over $5 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.8K | Jazz $10 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.3K | Clippers $424 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $560 | Spurs $746 | — |
| W50 Yokohama: Kanon Sawashiro vs Heather Watson same side · consensus Heather Watson | — | Kanon Sawashiro $1.2K | Kanon Sawashiro $57 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-14.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $367 | Jazz $823 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $588 | Kings $16 | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 8.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $25 | Over $415 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $331 | Kings $5 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $220 | Clippers $25 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $124 | Warriors $120 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-1.5) same side · consensus Rockets | — | Jazz $146 | Jazz $59 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-28.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | Spurs $138 | Spurs $19 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $133 | Under $4 | — |
| Spread: Predators (-1.5) same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $86 | Predators $3 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $4 | Warriors $77 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $62 | Clippers $8 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $36 | Under $3 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $21 | Kings $2 | — |