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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | Tsamam | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 48% (600–648, n=1248) | 54% (455–392, n=847) | 50% (1–1, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | $362K | $512K | $324K | $4.9K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #129 | PM monthly #811 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (104 of 161 open) | 53% (64 of 121 open) | 52% (82 of 159 open) | 38% (3 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | 13% (won 40% of 81) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | 24% (won 62% of 144) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | 43% (won 74% of 261) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | 20% (won 98% of 119) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
52 on the same side, 62 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | Tsamam |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $48K | Cavaliers $133K | Mavericks $48 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $9.1K | Timberwolves $14K | Bulls $31K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.4K | Over $26K | Under $1.7K | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | Utah $231 | Arizona $21K | Utah $14K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | Canadiens $14K | Avalanche $4.0K | Avalanche $9.9K | — |
| Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $867 | Under $16K | Under $4.2K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | Over $19K | Under $125 | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $3.8K | Arkansas $11K | Arkansas $4.1K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.6K | Over $12K | Under $63 | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.6K | Over $9.6K | Over $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Heat $7.4K | Pistons $5.2K | Heat $915 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.1K | Over $5.6K | Under $290 | — |
| Spread: Louisville (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus North Carolina | North Carolina $2.1K | Louisville $1.6K | North Carolina $5.7K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $4.0K | Pistons $2 | Heat $5.2K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $850 | New Mexico $7.8K | UNLV $227 | — |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $1.0K | Virginia Tech $3.1K | Stanford $4.3K | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Stanford $3.9K | Virginia Tech $3.2K | Virginia Tech $1.3K | — |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.4K | Over $3.0K | Over $942 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $6.7K | Mavericks $2 | Mavericks $63 | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $2.0K | Timberwolves $3.1K | Bulls $1.4K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.2K | Over $3 | Over $1.9K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas | Texas $5.7K | LSU $24 | Texas $230 | — |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | Hawai'i $1.4K | Hawai'i $1.6K | North Dakota State $370 | — |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $195 | Ducks $1.1K | — |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $572 | Under $970 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $199 | Heat $9 | Heat $363 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $83K | Grizzlies $33K | Grizzlies $70K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $25K | Grizzlies $291 | Grizzlies $33K | — |
| Spread: New Mexico (-17.5) same side · consensus UNLV | New Mexico $365 | New Mexico $32K | New Mexico $281 | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.2K | Over $15K | Over $521 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $6.0K | Heat $7.5K | Heat $11K | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) same side · consensus LSU | Texas $1.9K | Texas $18K | Texas $98 | — |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $13K | Over $170 | Over $1.7K | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force same side · consensus Air Force | Air Force $213 | Air Force $14K | Air Force $167 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $910 | Under $9 | Under $1.3K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.2K | Over $447 | Over $160 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $421 | Under $5 | Under $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Nets | Nets $8 | Nets $166 | Nets $412 | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | Florida Atlantic $811 | Tulsa $40K | — | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $15K | Mavericks $11K | — | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | Capitals $894 | Devils $16K | — | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $14K | — | Over $2.4K | — |
| UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison | — | Kayla Harrison $9.3K | Amanda Nunes $5.0K | — |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | Utah $11K | Arizona $2.2K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $13K | — | Mavericks $32 | — |
| Spread: Ducks (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Islanders $11K | Ducks $573 | — |
| Sabres vs. Stars: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $149 | Under $11K | — | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.7K | — | Over $6.2K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $9.4K | Mavericks $448 | — | — |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.7K | — | Under $2.9K | — |