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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Ndjdnrru33 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (481–419, n=900) | 48% (558–608, n=1166) | no settled market | 55% (433–356, n=789) |
| Consensus PnL | $363K | $515K | $0 | $365K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #18 | PM monthly #783 | PM monthly #137 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (147 of 231 open) | 60% (81 of 135 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (105 of 184 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | — | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 20) | — | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 36% (won 100% of 128) | — | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 50% (won 100% of 175) | — | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 8% (won 100% of 28) | — | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
62 on the same side, 79 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Ndjdnrru33 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | Michigan State $32K | Michigan State $4.3K | — | Washington $86K |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.8K | USC $28K | — | USC $3 |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $3.5K | Over $22K | — | Under $118 |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Georgia State | Georgia Southern $57 | Georgia State $25K | — | Georgia State $843 |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.4K | Over $12K | — | Under $434 |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $7.4K | Arkansas $6.7K | — | Arkansas $740 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5.6K | Over $5.6K | — | Over $784 |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Oregon State | Boise State $10K | Boise State $620 | — | Oregon State $934 |
| Wild vs. Bruins opposite sides · consensus Wild | Bruins $544 | Wild $10K | — | Bruins $6 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | Virginia Tech $1.5K | Virginia Tech $4.6K | — | Stanford $4.4K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | Stanford $866 | Virginia Tech $6.4K | — | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $5 | Pelicans $9.0K | — | Nuggets $565 |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $4.4K | Under $3.5K | — | Over $1 |
| Spread: Indiana (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.0K | USC $4.5K | — | Indiana $1.1K |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $252 | Pistons $5.7K | — | Heat $782 |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | Canadiens $26 | Avalanche $2.4K | — | Canadiens $1.6K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $529 | Over $881 | — | Under $931 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | Ducks $1.9K | Islanders $203 | — | Islanders $218 |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $122 | Under $692 | — | Over $794 |
| Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty opposite sides · consensus Liberty | Liberty $178 | Liberty $587 | — | Middle Tennessee $7 |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | Auburn $6 | Mississippi State $17 | — | Auburn $56 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $9.2K | Over $15K | — | Over $521 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Heat | Heat $5.1K | Heat $4.7K | — | Heat $3.2K |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $45 | Under $1.5K | — | Under $3.5K |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-6.5) same side · consensus Georgia State | Georgia State $2.1K | Georgia State $203 | — | Georgia State $1.7K |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) same side · consensus Notre Dame | Boston College $2.2K | Boston College $51 | — | Boston College $879 |
| Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. California Golden Bears same side · consensus Utah Tech Trailblazers | Utah Tech Trailblazers $228 | Utah Tech Trailblazers $304 | — | Utah Tech Trailblazers $39 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $18K | — | Bulls $17K |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Panthers $25K | — | Blues $199 |
| Florida vs. Kentucky opposite sides · consensus Kentucky | — | Kentucky $8.8K | — | Florida $7.2K |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $174 | — | — | Under $15K |
| Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $8.4K | Under $7.0K | — | — |
| Spread: LSU (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $336 | Texas $15K | — | — |
| Devils vs. Capitals opposite sides · consensus Devils | Capitals $1.5K | Devils $12K | — | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.9K | Over $8.8K | — | — |
| UFC 334: Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Early Prelims) opposite sides · consensus Bia Mesquita | — | Bia Mesquita $13K | — | Macy Chiasson $138 |
| Flyers vs. Blue Jackets opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets $826 | Flyers $9.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Liberty (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee | Liberty $2.2K | Middle Tennessee $7.3K | — | — |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $6.1K |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $1.2K | Timberwolves $7.4K | — | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $221 | — | — | Over $8.4K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.1K | Over $121 | — | — |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa opposite sides · consensus Tulsa | Florida Atlantic $1.5K | Tulsa $6.4K | — | — |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $60 | — | Yes $7.3K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.9K | — | — | Over $1.9K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs opposite sides · consensus Oilers | — | Maple Leafs $5.5K | — | Oilers $20 |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.6K | — | — | Under $3.8K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $106 | — | — | Heat $5.2K |
| Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Flyers | — | Flyers $4.9K | — | Blue Jackets $348 |