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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | iammillionaire | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (448–384, n=832) | no settled market | 48% (503–542, n=1045) | 55% (392–321, n=713) |
| Consensus PnL | $332K | — | $528K | $426K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #714 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #107 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (121 of 189 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (29 of 51 open) | 46% (31 of 68 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | — | 100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45% | 69% of 567 at avg 53¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | — | 6% (won 100% of 19) | 14% (won 37% of 79) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 68) | — | 36% (won 100% of 120) | 24% (won 59% of 138) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 60% (won 100% of 127) | — | 50% (won 100% of 166) | 43% (won 72% of 243) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 15) | — | 7% (won 100% of 24) | 19% (won 98% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
26 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | iammillionaire | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Hurricanes opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes | Kraken $41 | — | Hurricanes $34K | Kraken $51 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Ohio State | Ohio State $438 | — | Northwestern $15K | Northwestern $1.9K |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | Indiana $2.4K | — | USC $14K | USC $2 |
| Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.5K | — | Over $3.3K | Under $200 |
| Tennessee vs. Texas A&M opposite sides · consensus Tennessee | Texas A&M $250 | — | Tennessee $25K | — |
| Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $9.3K | — | Under $14K | — |
| Spread: Liberty (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Liberty | Liberty $2.6K | — | Middle Tennessee $6.3K | — |
| Syracuse vs. NC State opposite sides · consensus Syracuse | NC State $2.1K | — | Syracuse $4.7K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $4.4K | — | — | Under $1.1K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $4.6K | — | — | Pelicans $103 |
| Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs | LSU Tigers $1.5K | — | Gonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K | — |
| Spread: James Madison (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus UConn | UConn $2.2K | — | — | James Madison $1.3K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $3.1K | — | — | Nets $14 |
| Spread: Alabama (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | Alabama $1.5K | — | — | Vanderbilt $983 |
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | LSU $209 | — | Texas $1.7K | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $516 | — | — | Over $844 |
| Spread: Kentucky (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida | Florida $18 | — | Kentucky $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Auburn (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Mississippi State | Mississippi State $382 | — | — | Auburn $370 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $295 | Over $11 |
| Alabama vs. Vanderbilt opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt | Alabama $63 | — | — | Vanderbilt $13 |
| Kansas vs. West Virginia same side · consensus West Virginia | Kansas $6.4K | — | Kansas $21K | — |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $4.5K | — | Over $13K | — |
| Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $12K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Yale (-3.5) same side · consensus Yale | Princeton $135 | — | — | Princeton $11K |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) same side · consensus Red Wings | Lightning $783 | — | Lightning $10K | — |
| Spread: Indiana (-7.5) same side · consensus Indiana | Indiana $6.4K | — | — | Indiana $911 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) same side · consensus New Mexico | New Mexico $691 | — | New Mexico $6.3K | — |
| Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5) same side · consensus Sam Houston | Kennesaw State $2.9K | — | — | Kennesaw State $1.3K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Texans | Browns $2.3K | — | — | Browns $1.2K |
| Spread: James Madison (-5.5) same side · consensus UConn | UConn $2.5K | — | UConn $628 | — |
| Spread: Alabama (-16.5) same side · consensus Vanderbilt | Vanderbilt $2.1K | — | — | Vanderbilt $542 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Titans | Jaguars $1.1K | — | — | Jaguars $1.3K |
| Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.7K | — | — | Under $5 |
| Spread: Nevada (-5.5) same side · consensus Nevada | Nevada $100 | — | Nevada $1.6K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $199 | — | Pistons $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Butler (-7.5) same side · consensus Marist | Butler $542 | — | — | Butler $942 |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $3 | — | Mavericks $1.2K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $1.1K | — | — | Colts $3 |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | Heat $1.0K | — | — | Heat $45 |
| Wild vs. Bruins same side · consensus Bruins | Bruins $574 | — | Bruins $400 | — |
| Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $6 | — | — | Over $861 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas same side · consensus Arkansas | South Carolina $263 | — | — | South Carolina $542 |
| Spread: BYU (-7.5) same side · consensus Baylor | BYU $297 | — | — | BYU $355 |
| Spread: Tennessee (-2.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M | Texas A&M $23 | — | — | Texas A&M $519 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-14.5) same side · consensus Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech $2 | — | Virginia Tech $373 | — |
| Duke vs. Miami (FL) same side · consensus Miami (FL) | Miami (FL) $49 | — | Miami (FL) $144 | — |