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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarlvisselkobe
Record (consensus markets)71% (3118–1302, n=4420)47% (735–824, n=1559)62% (16–10, n=26)57% (4–3, n=7)
Consensus PnL$661K$653K$663K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #7PM monthly #16was PM monthly #70PM monthly #895
Sides with the consensus54% (108 of 199 open)52% (56 of 108 open)0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=653———
Settled positions, side won41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%94% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +44%100% of 4 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 5% of 566)5% (won 100% of 23)6% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 335)34% (won 100% of 161)50% (won 100% of 8)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 62% of 157)52% (won 100% of 243)38% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 326)9% (won 100% of 42)6% (won 100% of 1)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarlvisselkobe
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $937Lakers $58K——
Spread: Lakers (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Lakers $1.2KSuns $13K——
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Hornets $250Clippers $11K——
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $376Lakers $11K——
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $539Knicks $8.4K——
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Rockets $143Wizards $8.5K——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.8KOver $6.6K——
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $397Jazz $6.7K——
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Celtics $5.2KMavericks $1.0K——
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $2.0KClippers $2.7K——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $149Under $3.1K——
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Lakers $1.2KSuns $1.2K——
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K——
Champaign: Nicholas Mekhael vs Keshav Chopra
opposite sides · consensus Keshav Chopra
Keshav Chopra $1.0KNicholas Mekhael $647——
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan Broncos
Western Michigan Broncos $1.2KSouthern Indiana Screaming Eagles $44——
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Jazz $113Spurs $1.1K——
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $20——
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $956Lakers $196——
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Wisconsin Badgers $4Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $1.1K——
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $10Under $857——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $611Under $100——
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $450Lakers $59——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 201.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $60Under $416——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $79Under $243——
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $136Hornets $149——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $142Under $2——
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $110Under $4——
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $44Under $26——
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $12Jazz $14——
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $14Under $8——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 199.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8Under $4——
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $17—Cowboys $66K—
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $4.2KLakers $22K——
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $2.2KJazz $16K——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $517Over $7.9K——
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
Lakers $757Lakers $5.7K——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.0KUnder $698——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 205.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $391Under $727——
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.1KJazz $14——
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $617Under $6——
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Hornets $202Hornets $322——
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $66Spurs $399——
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $56Under $107——
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $116Under $6——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 203.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $54Under $57——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 209.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $58Under $16——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $60Under $1——
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5Under $56——