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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlYEEES-but-why
Record (consensus markets)74% (1443–503, n=1946)46% (323–386, n=709)40% (4–6, n=10)no settled market
Consensus PnL$298K$250K$365K—
Tracked asPM monthly #45PM monthly #26was PM monthly #70PM monthly #503
Sides with the consensus60% (169 of 282 open)62% (67 of 108 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −3 pts, n=123———
Settled positions, side won48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%80% of 5 at avg 39¢, ROI +62%—
Entries under 30¢32% (won 5% of 159)7% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 43% of 119)39% (won 100% of 88)60% (won 100% of 3)—
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 61% of 70)47% (won 100% of 108)20% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 95% of 142)7% (won 100% of 17)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

36 on the same side, 27 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighThunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlYEEES-but-why
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $3.8KMavericks $14K——
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Suns $634Hornets $17K——
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Capitals
Devils $69Capitals $14K——
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $1276ers $5.8K——
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Wizards $2.7KPistons $3.1K——
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $597Over $4.9K——
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Pistons $807Wizards $3.5K——
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Avalanche $250Senators $3.7K——
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
Wild $1.8KMaple Leafs $715——
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $6776ers $1.9K——
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.2KOver $326——
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0KUnder $115——
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $818Over $173——
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Timberwolves $757Mavericks $31——
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $670Over $4——
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $26376ers $204——
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Senators $316Avalanche $9——
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
Sabres $143Blackhawks $164——
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $110Over $128——
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $95Over $111——
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Avalanche $23Senators $149——
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $64Over $44——
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $80Over $16——
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7Over $62——
W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Olivia Gadecki
opposite sides · consensus Olivia Gadecki
Joanna Garland $5Olivia Gadecki $58——
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Stars $16Jets $13——
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $12Suns $5——
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $5.7KTimberwolves $53K——
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
76ers $15K76ers $40K——
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
Stars $342Stars $50K——
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $3.7KPistons $40K——
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
76ers $3.1K76ers $33K——
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5Under $18K——
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Avalanche
Avalanche $151Avalanche $11K——
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Mavericks $684Mavericks $7.1K——
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.1K76ers $5.3K——
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $297Over $6.1K——
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $416Raptors $5.6K——
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Wizards $3.3KWizards $1.4K——
Hornets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $3.8KSuns $773——
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6KUnder $2.6K——
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.1K76ers $2.6K——
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $294Raptors $2.9K——
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.0KUnder $1.1K——
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $2.2K76ers $844——
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.2KOver $214——
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $665Under $655——
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $98Under $837——
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
same side · consensus Maple Leafs
Maple Leafs $112Maple Leafs $795——
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Mavericks $836Mavericks $24——