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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpgoogleplayhansama231HomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)74% (1443–503, n=1946)50% (6–6, n=12)no settled market53% (307–269, n=576)
Consensus PnL$298K$423K$0$308K
Tracked asPM monthly #45PM monthly #17PM monthly #833PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus62% (172 of 277 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (100 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −3 pts, n=123———
Settled positions, side won48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%—100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 5% of 159)0%—1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 43% of 119)17% (won 100% of 1)—30% (won 100% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 61% of 70)83% (won 100% of 5)—62% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 95% of 142)0%—8% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgoogleplayhansama231HomeRunHazard
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $3.8K——Mavericks $6.4K
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Senators
Avalanche $260——Senators $9.4K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0K——Under $7.6K
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $5.7K——Mavericks $68
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $628——Over $4.1K
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $43——Over $4.4K
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
Sabres $143——Blackhawks $3.3K
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $294——76ers $3.1K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
76ers $2.9K——Raptors $21
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K——Under $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Suns $620——Hornets $1.8K
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
Wild $1.8K——Maple Leafs $526
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $277——Wizards $2.0K
Spread: Bakersfield Roadrunners (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners
Western Illinois Leathernecks $16——Bakersfield Roadrunners $1.6K
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
Mavericks $684——Timberwolves $6
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys
Oklahoma State Cowboys $114——Texas A&M Aggies $382
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $102——Over $21
Spread: UTEP Miners (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners
UTEP Miners $99——New Mexico State Aggies $3
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $64——Over $13
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-24.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rhode Island Rams
Rhode Island Rams $4——Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks $15
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
Wizards $3.6K——Wizards $49K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.7K——Over $48K
Raptors vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.6K——76ers $37K
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
Stars $405——Stars $10K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $7.5K——Timberwolves $74
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $6——Vikings $6.5K
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $3.3K——Pistons $2.6K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.3K——Over $332
Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $45——Under $4.3K
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Hornets $536——Hornets $3.6K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.4K——Over $52
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 178.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $49——Under $3.0K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546——Seahawks $1.5K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $40——Over $2.0K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $169——Falcons $1.2K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $910——Over $229
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49——Colts $1.1K
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7——Under $1.0K
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-2.5)
same side · consensus Southern Illinois Salukis
Southern Illinois Salukis $2——Southern Illinois Salukis $1.0K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $708——Over $15
Canadiens vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Canadiens
Canadiens $263——Canadiens $385
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
Timberwolves $431——Timberwolves $202
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $597——Under $1
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies
same side · consensus Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M Aggies $446——Texas A&M Aggies $43
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
Raptors $263——Raptors $132
Richmond Spiders vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 153.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $33——Under $326
Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $39——Under $297
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-8.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M Aggies $30——Texas A&M Aggies $130
Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-1.5)
same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars $121——South Alabama Jaguars $35
Richmond Spiders vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 152.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3——Under $93