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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNdjdnrru33
Record (consensus markets)71% (2531–1028, n=3559)53% (481–419, n=900)48% (558–608, n=1166)no settled market
Consensus PnL$501K$363K$515K$0
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #7PM monthly #18PM monthly #783
Sides with the consensus48% (84 of 175 open)63% (147 of 232 open)61% (82 of 134 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=174———
Settled positions, side won44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%—
Entries under 30¢40% (won 5% of 409)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 20)—
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 41% of 222)31% (won 100% of 70)36% (won 100% of 128)—
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 115)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 175)—
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 94% of 271)7% (won 100% of 16)8% (won 100% of 28)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

47 on the same side, 52 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighNdjdnrru33
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $358Under $8.1KOver $121—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $75Cavaliers $2.1KMavericks $1.7K—
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
opposite sides · consensus UC Riverside Highlanders
Fresno State Bulldogs $906UC Riverside Highlanders $1.0KUC Riverside Highlanders $3—
Spread: Saint Joseph's Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Penn Quakers
Saint Joseph's Hawks $90Penn Quakers $153Penn Quakers $880—
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Cavaliers $50—Mavericks $38K—
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.8KUSC $28K—
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Georgia State
—Georgia Southern $57Georgia State $25K—
USC vs. Indiana
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
USC $309—Indiana $22K—
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Mavericks $13KCavaliers $6.5K——
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $8.4KUnder $7.0K—
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus LSU
—LSU $336Texas $15K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.4KOver $12K—
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—South Carolina $7.4KArkansas $6.7K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $8.8K—
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
Florida $3.1K—Kentucky $8.8K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.6KOver $5.6K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Grizzlies $155—Nets $11K—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $544Wild $10K—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $826Flyers $9.0K—
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Liberty $2.2KMiddle Tennessee $7.3K—
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nuggets
—Nuggets $5Pelicans $9.0K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.4K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.4K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $866Virginia Tech $6.4K—
Spread: Indiana (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.0KUSC $4.5K—
Spread: Mavericks (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Mavericks $10Cavaliers $5.0K——
USC vs. Indiana: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2Under $4.2K—
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings
—San Francisco Dons $1.4KPortland State Vikings $2.6K—
Spread: West Virginia (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kansas
—West Virginia $81Kansas $3.6K—
Will Haiti win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $3.0K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.4K—
Spread: Washington (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Washington
—Michigan State $2Washington $2.3K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $203—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $229Under $933—
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $18Kentucky $1.1K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $16Under $960——
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
Arkansas $637South Carolina $258——
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $122Under $692—
Spread: Oregon (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Michigan
—Oregon $74Michigan $484—
Mirassol FC vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $167—Over $259—
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Portland State Vikings
San Francisco Dons $33Portland State Vikings $337——
South Alabama Jaguars vs. North Texas Mean Green: O/U 136.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4Under $286——
Spread: Providence Friars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes $229Providence Friars $3——
Spread: Providence Friars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Providence Friars
Colorado Buffaloes $170Providence Friars $3——
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $108Under $65——
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $48Over $116——
Spread: San Francisco Dons (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons
San Francisco Dons $92Portland State Vikings $52——
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Providence Friars $136—Colorado Buffaloes $3—
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Manhattan Jaspers
—Le Moyne Dolphins $109Manhattan Jaspers $2—