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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | Ndjdnrru33 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (2531–1028, n=3559) | 53% (481–419, n=900) | no settled market | 55% (433–356, n=789) |
| Consensus PnL | $501K | $363K | $0 | $365K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #783 | PM monthly #137 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (83 of 173 open) | 64% (147 of 231 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 57% (105 of 184 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | — | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | — | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | — | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | — | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
59 on the same side, 60 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | Ndjdnrru33 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $16 | Under $960 | — | Under $1.4K |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | Arkansas $637 | South Carolina $258 | — | Arkansas $12 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $2 | Nets $11 | — | Nets $579 |
| Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State same side · consensus Oklahoma State | Texas Tech $374 | Texas Tech $1.1K | — | Texas Tech $177 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — | Colts $3 |
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | Michigan State $32K | — | Washington $86K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $310 | — | — | Nets $21K |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Grizzlies $1.5K | — | — | Nets $18K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $13K | Cavaliers $6.5K | — | — |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $174 | — | Under $15K |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Oregon State | — | Boise State $10K | — | Oregon State $934 |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $6.1K |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State: O/U 55.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $221 | — | Over $8.4K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $358 | Under $8.1K | — | — |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $7.4K | — | Arkansas $740 |
| Will United States win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $32 | — | — | Yes $7.3K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5.6K | — | Over $784 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | — | Stanford $4.4K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.9K | — | Over $1.9K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.6K | — | Under $3.8K |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $106 | — | Heat $5.2K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Mavericks $10 | Cavaliers $5.0K | — | — |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $369 |
| Boston College vs. Notre Dame: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $2.0K |
| Haiti vs. United States: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2 | — | — | Over $4.5K |
| California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.4K | — | Over $1 |
| Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.5K | — | Under $118 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $866 | — | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Spread: Indiana (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Indiana | — | Indiana $2.8K | — | USC $3 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.9K | — | Wyoming $656 |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | — | Over $273 |
| Portland State Vikings vs. San Francisco Dons opposite sides · consensus San Francisco Dons | — | San Francisco Dons $1.0K | — | Portland State Vikings $1.2K |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.8K | — | Wyoming $403 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Islanders | — | Ducks $1.9K | — | Islanders $218 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Pelicans $1.9K | — | — | Nuggets $105 |
| Arizona State vs. UCF opposite sides · consensus Arizona State | — | Arizona State $1.8K | — | UCF $114 |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Cavaliers $1.7K | — | — | Mavericks $145 |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $1.4K | — | North Dakota State $86 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $529 | — | Under $931 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $522 | — | Stanford $877 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $572 | — | Under $633 |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $252 | — | Heat $782 |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $665 | — | Under $289 |
| Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Georgia State | — | Georgia Southern $57 | — | Georgia State $843 |
| Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma | Ole Miss $260 | — | — | Oklahoma $507 |
| Brown Bears vs. Siena Saints opposite sides · consensus Siena Saints | — | Siena Saints $520 | — | Brown Bears $222 |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $660 | — | Over $76 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Bulls $94 | — | — | Timberwolves $545 |
| Colorado Buffaloes vs. Providence Friars opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes | Providence Friars $132 | — | — | Colorado Buffaloes $492 |