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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighvisselkobe
Record (consensus markets)57% (73–54, n=127)71% (3118–1302, n=4420)47% (735–824, n=1559)57% (4–3, n=7)
Consensus PnL$2.5M$661K$653K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #16PM monthly #895
Sides with the consensus50% (9 of 18 open)54% (109 of 201 open)52% (55 of 106 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=37, ROI +45%
  • NFL +45 pts n=14, ROI +46%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=653——
Settled positions, side won100% of 61 at avg 54¢, ROI +44%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 4 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢0%41% (won 5% of 566)5% (won 100% of 23)0%
Entries 30–50¢41% (won 100% of 25)24% (won 38% of 335)34% (won 100% of 161)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 100% of 33)11% (won 62% of 157)52% (won 100% of 243)50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 326)9% (won 100% of 42)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighvisselkobe
Lakers vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Suns $389Lakers $4.4KLakers $22K—
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Clippers $608Hornets $2.0KClippers $2.7K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $45Lakers $1.2KSuns $1.2K—
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $133K—49ers $14K—
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $874Lakers $58K—
Spread: Rams (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $31K—Cardinals $366—
Hornets vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $21KHornets $6.1K——
Spread: Lakers (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $1.2KSuns $13K—
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $251Clippers $11K—
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $141Lakers $11K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $539Knicks $8.4K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $143Wizards $8.5K—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $397Jazz $6.7K—
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Celtics $5.2KMavericks $1.0K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $149Under $3.1K—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K—
Spread: Rams (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $1.8K—Cardinals $260—
Champaign: Nicholas Mekhael vs Keshav Chopra
opposite sides · consensus Keshav Chopra
—Keshav Chopra $1.0KNicholas Mekhael $647—
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan Broncos
—Western Michigan Broncos $1.2KSouthern Indiana Screaming Eagles $44—
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
—Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $20—
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
—Wisconsin Badgers $4Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $1.1K—
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Jazz $113Spurs $887—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10Under $857—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $597Under $205—
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $377Lakers $196—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 201.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $60Under $488—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $79Under $243—
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $235Lakers $59—
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $136Hornets $149—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $158Under $2—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $110Under $4—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $44Under $26—
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $12Jazz $14—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $14Under $8—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 199.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8Under $4—
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $1.2MCowboys $17——
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.2KJazz $16K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $899Lakers $5.7K—
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $1.7K—Seahawks $1.0K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 207.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.0KUnder $698—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 205.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $391Under $727—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.1KJazz $14—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $617Under $6—
Spread: Hornets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $202Hornets $322—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $66Spurs $399—
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $56Under $107—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $141Under $6—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 203.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $54Under $57—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 211.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $60Under $1—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5Under $56—