Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpHomeRunHazardYEEES-but-why
Record (consensus markets)57% (28–21, n=49)74% (1443–503, n=1946)53% (307–269, n=576)no settled market
Consensus PnL$758K$298K$308K—
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #45PM monthly #7PM monthly #503
Sides with the consensus50% (12 of 24 open)62% (171 of 277 open)66% (97 of 146 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=22, ROI +45%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −3 pts, n=123——
Settled positions, side won100% of 31 at avg 52¢, ROI +46%48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%—
Entries under 30¢0%32% (won 5% of 159)1% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢48% (won 100% of 15)24% (won 43% of 119)30% (won 100% of 49)—
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 14)14% (won 61% of 70)62% (won 100% of 101)—
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 100% of 2)29% (won 95% of 142)8% (won 100% of 13)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpHomeRunHazardYEEES-but-why
Raptors vs. 76ers
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $126K76ers $1.6K76ers $37K—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Raptors $23076ers $2.9KRaptors $21—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $380K—Commanders $2.6K—
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Raptors $134K76ers $843——
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5.5K—Under $6.8K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $3.8KMavericks $6.4K—
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Senators
—Avalanche $260Senators $9.4K—
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $7.6K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $5.7KMavericks $68—
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $628Over $4.1K—
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $43Over $4.4K—
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
—Sabres $143Blackhawks $3.3K—
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $29476ers $3.1K—
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.8KUnder $1.1K—
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Suns $620Hornets $1.8K—
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $1.8KMaple Leafs $526—
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $277Wizards $2.0K—
Spread: Bakersfield Roadrunners (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners
—Western Illinois Leathernecks $16Bakersfield Roadrunners $1.6K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Mavericks $684Timberwolves $6—
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys
—Oklahoma State Cowboys $114Texas A&M Aggies $382—
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $104Over $21—
Spread: UTEP Miners (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners
—UTEP Miners $99New Mexico State Aggies $3—
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $64Over $13—
Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-24.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rhode Island Rams
—Rhode Island Rams $4Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks $15—
Commanders vs. Giants: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $9—Under $3—
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $3.6KWizards $49K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Giants $46K—Giants $612—
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
Raptors $31KRaptors $469——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $30KRaptors $1.1K——
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $405Stars $10K—
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $7.5KTimberwolves $74—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $6Vikings $6.5K—
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $3.3KPistons $2.6K—
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $5.3KOver $332—
Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $45Under $4.3K—
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $620Hornets $3.6K—
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.4KOver $52—
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 178.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $49Under $3.0K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $169Falcons $1.2K—
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $111Raptors $1.2K——
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $910Over $229—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7Under $1.0K—
Spread: Richmond Spiders (-2.5)
same side · consensus Southern Illinois Salukis
—Southern Illinois Salukis $2Southern Illinois Salukis $1.0K—
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $708Over $15—
Canadiens vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $263Canadiens $385—
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $431Timberwolves $202—
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $597Under $1—
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies
same side · consensus Texas A&M Aggies
—Texas A&M Aggies $446Texas A&M Aggies $43—