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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (61–47, n=108) | 81% (21–5, n=26) | 52% (591–550, n=1141) | 53% (532–472, n=1004) |
| Consensus PnL | $770K | $6.4K | $385K | $635K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #921 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (16 of 30 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 62% (92 of 149 open) | 52% (57 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 58 at avg 53¢, ROI +44% | 88% of 25 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 6) | 12% (won 45% of 89) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 43% (won 100% of 25) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 100) | 25% (won 71% of 190) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 52% (won 100% of 30) | 36% (won 78% of 9) | 60% (won 100% of 189) | 45% (won 80% of 347) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 3) | 64% (won 94% of 16) | 7% (won 100% of 22) | 18% (won 99% of 142) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
21 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Danny8273 | HomeRunHazard | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers vs. Saints opposite sides · consensus Panthers | Panthers $1.3M | — | Saints $38K | Saints $20 |
| Spread: Packers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $204K | — | Vikings $12K | Packers $38K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Titans | Titans $122K | — | Jaguars $4.3K | Jaguars $80K |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $77K | — | 49ers $25K | 49ers $61K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Titans $104K | — | Jaguars $11 | Jaguars $20K |
| Pacers vs. 76ers opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Pacers $84K | — | 76ers $36K | 76ers $2.2K |
| Spread: Packers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $11K | — | Vikings $7.8K | Packers $399 |
| Spread: Colts (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Dolphins | Colts $272 | — | Dolphins $6.5K | Dolphins $2.1K |
| Spread: Vikings (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $496 | — | Packers $4.9K | Packers $63 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $75K | — | Colts $2.4K | Colts $1.3K |
| Vikings vs. Packers opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $1.1M | — | — | Packers $7.1K |
| Jaguars vs. Titans opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Titans $138K | — | Jaguars $35K | — |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | — | Oregon Ducks $7.4K | Pepperdine Waves $150K |
| Spread: Colts (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $136K | — | Dolphins $6.9K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $78K | — | — | 76ers $3.1K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $70K | — | Falcons $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $27K | — | Falcons $7.1K | — |
| Texans vs. Browns opposite sides · consensus Texans | — | — | Texans $11K | Browns $1.5K |
| Spread: Bills (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Bills $5.5K | Jets $5.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Jets $2.1K | Bills $7.8K |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7.2K | Over $2.2K |
| Spread: Colts (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $6.9K | — | Dolphins $8 | — |
| Rams vs. Cardinals opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | — | Rams $5.7K | Cardinals $199 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $3.0K | Under $1.4K |
| Spread: Packers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Packers | Vikings $2.3K | — | Packers $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | — | — | Packers $528 | Vikings $4 |
| Bills vs. Jets same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $29K | Bills $122K |
| Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $76K | — | — | Chiefs $19K |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $52K | — | Cowboys $843 | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $37K | — | Cowboys $2.3K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $5.8K | Under $27K |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $2.5K | Browns $12K |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $12K | Under $2.3K |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7.0K | Under $230 |
| Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.4K | Under $2.8K |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.4K | Under $529 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) same side · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $3.1K | — | — | Cowboys $383 |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.1K | Under $314 |
| Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.8K | Under $609 |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $173 | Under $1.6K |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $1.5K | Browns $157 |
| Spread: Rams (-8.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Rams $1.6K | Rams $10 |
| Spread: Rams (-9.5) same side · consensus Rams | — | — | Cardinals $5 | Cardinals $1.3K |
| Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $6 | Over $1.1K |
| Rockets vs. Wizards same side · consensus Rockets | — | — | Rockets $320 | Rockets $72 |
| Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $292 | Under $2 |