Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AltMindHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)55% (30–25, n=55)52% (591–550, n=1141)47% (692–767, n=1459)53% (532–472, n=1004)
Consensus PnL$20K$385K$865K$635K
Tracked asPM monthly #883PM monthly #10PM monthly #14PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)61% (92 of 150 open)62% (92 of 148 open)53% (58 of 109 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢—2% (won 100% of 6)5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 45% of 89)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 100)34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 189)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 22)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

46 on the same side, 48 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAltMindHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Bills $6.7KJets $2.1KBills $1.7KBills $7.8K
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $7.4KOregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $150K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $12KVikings $21KPackers $38K
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $2.4KDolphins $39KColts $1.3K
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.5KOver $25KUnder $2.8K
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.2KUnder $4.5KOver $2.2K
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Bills $5.5KBills $26Jets $5.2K
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $5.7KRams $4.8KCardinals $199
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $3.3KUnder $609
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $29KBills $38KBills $122K
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $25K49ers $23K49ers $62K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $4.3KJaguars $10KJaguars $80K
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.8KUnder $24KUnder $27K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $1.5KBrowns $14KBrowns $157
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $6.5KDolphins $531Dolphins $2.1K
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6Over $1.8KOver $1.1K
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
——Falcons $22KChiefs $19K
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $28KUnder $9
Spread: Colts (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Dolphins $6.9KColts $17K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $21K76ers $24
Hawks vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $8.8KOver $7.1K—
Spread: France (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Türkiye
——France $14KTürkiye $55
Texans vs. Browns
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Texans $11K—Browns $1.5K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Raptors $2.3KKnicks $9.4K—
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $267Wizards $8.0K—
Spread: Packers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $7.8K—Packers $399
Spread: Panthers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Saints
Panthers $5.1K—Saints $2.6K—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $5.3K76ers $2.4K—
Spread: Bills (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Bills $7.0KJets $190—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $6.6KJazz $502—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $1.9KJazz $5.1K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3.7KUnder $3.2K
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $6.8KUnder $123
Spread: Panthers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panthers
Panthers $5.3K—Saints $1.4K—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 36.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6.0KUnder $17—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.0KOver $907
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $2.3KClippers $2.8K—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.0K—Under $1.4K
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nebraska Cornhuskers
—Nebraska Cornhuskers $2.8KBoise State Broncos $1.3K—
Spread: Bills (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $2.9KJets $319—
Pacers vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.2KUnder $11—
Chiefs vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $170Under $3.0K—
Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.8KOver $270
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $465Clippers $2.6K—
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Pacers $9376ers $2.0K—
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
—High Point Panthers $150Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $585Under $876
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville Cardinals
—Louisville Cardinals $140Memphis Tigers $1.3K—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
——Ole Miss $558Oklahoma $694
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
—Packers $528—Vikings $4