Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (448–384, n=832)48% (513–552, n=1065)
Consensus PnL$0$332K$546K
Tracked asPM monthly #964PM monthly #10PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)64% (176 of 274 open)67% (100 of 149 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)37% (won 100% of 126)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 171)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)7% (won 100% of 25)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x972Ca06ca3be26c448fbE952a7C5cd187EbB9492-1767586978807HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $902Hurricanes $40K
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Texas A&M $6.1KTennessee $25K
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.3KUnder $25K
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
—Ohio State $363Northwestern $19K
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6.8KUnder $12K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.5KUSC $14K
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.7KOver $11K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.3KOver $5.5K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $544Wild $9.9K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $826Flyers $9.0K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9.0KOver $540
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $2.6KMiddle Tennessee $6.3K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.4K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.0KOver $125
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.3K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $831Virginia Tech $6.3K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $2.1K
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $3.5KMavericks $1.4K
Spread: West Virginia (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus West Virginia
—West Virginia $410Kansas $3.7K
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
—LSU Tigers $1.6KGonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves
—George Mason Patriots $1.3KBradley Braves $2.2K
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.5K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $201
Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13Under $1.6K
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $740Hurricanes $741
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
—Northern Kentucky Norse $6Central Michigan Chippewas $1.3K
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $18Kentucky $1.2K
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
—Rice $305Tulane $608
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—Bradley Braves $108George Mason Patriots $711
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—George Mason Patriots $9Bradley Braves $2
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)
same side · consensus Northwestern
—Northwestern $21KNorthwestern $20K
Spread: Texas State (-9.5)
same side · consensus Texas State
—Texas State $15KTexas State $22K
Spread: Alabama (-14.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
—Vanderbilt $5.7KVanderbilt $30K
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
—Kansas $6.6KKansas $27K
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kennesaw State
—Kennesaw State $3.0KKennesaw State $30K
Wisconsin vs. Maryland
same side · consensus Wisconsin
—Wisconsin $3.3KWisconsin $29K
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KOver $22K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.4KOver $15K
Syracuse vs. NC State
same side · consensus NC State
—NC State $4.4KNC State $16K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $19KUnder $608
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
same side · consensus Coastal Carolina
—Coastal Carolina $8.4KCoastal Carolina $10K
Spread: Missouri State (-1.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico State
—New Mexico State $2.5KNew Mexico State $14K
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
same side · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $48Miami (FL) $12K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $870Nets $10K
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Red Wings
—Lightning $765Lightning $9.9K
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.4KUnder $3.5K
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $704New Mexico $6.5K
Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)
same side · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $4.1KMiami (FL) $2.2K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $1.5KVirginia Tech $4.5K