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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | shibaijiaoyiyuan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 71% (2619–1078, n=3697) | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 45% (14–17, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $856K | $482K | $362K | $18K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #905 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | 53% (129 of 244 open) | 64% (103 of 160 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | College Basketball −4 pts, n=174 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | 44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3% | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 40% (won 5% of 409) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 42% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 41% of 222) | 31% (won 100% of 70) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 58% (won 100% of 7) | 11% (won 64% of 115) | 60% (won 100% of 135) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 27% (won 94% of 271) | 7% (won 100% of 16) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
27 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | shibaijiaoyiyuan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $50K | Heat $566 | Heat $6.0K | — |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | Avalanche $260K | — | Canadiens $14K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $66K | — | Grizzlies $83K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Mavericks $2.2K | Cavaliers $13K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $2.5K | Nets $9.1K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $3.3K | Under $8.4K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Mavericks $325 | Cavaliers $9.4K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $2.1K | Under $4.6K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.1K | Under $5.1K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.3K | Under $549 | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $239 | Over $405 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $393 | Pistons $199 | — |
| Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons | — | Little Rock Trojans $4 | Northwestern State Demons $559 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $29 | Over $445 | — |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 159.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $11 | Under $452 | — |
| Utah vs. Arizona opposite sides · consensus Utah | — | Arizona $23 | Utah $231 | — |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | Over $241 | — |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | Montana Grizzlies $21 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $219 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $104 | Under $37 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $54 | Nets $15 | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $4 | Pistons $9 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | Grizzlies $5 | Nets $8 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $1.8K | Cavaliers $48K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $803 | Grizzlies $25K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-2.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $155 | Cavaliers $15K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $31 | Under $14K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-1.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $928 | Cavaliers $11K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $2.4K | Cavaliers $8.3K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5) same side · consensus Bulls | — | Bulls $1.2K | Bulls $8.8K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $914 | Cavaliers $8.1K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | — | Heat $434 | Heat $7.4K | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $686 | Cavaliers $6.7K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | — | Vikings $296 | Vikings $6.5K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $549 | Cavaliers $6.2K | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Bulls $4.5K | Bulls $2.0K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Under $4.4K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $3.9K | Over $1.2K | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $246 | Over $4.7K | — |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $238 | Under $2.9K | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | — | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $1.4K | Cavaliers $311 | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | — | Falcons $174 | Falcons $1.2K | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $127 | Under $910 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $380 | Over $91 | — |
| Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $29 | Under $423 | — |
| UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets same side · consensus Sacramento State Hornets | — | Sacramento State Hornets $245 | Sacramento State Hornets $5 | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | Under $177 | — |
| Spread: Mavericks (-10.5) same side · consensus Mavericks | — | Mavericks $107 | Mavericks $15 | — |