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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-176631754118895deFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)62% (8–5, n=13)58% (7–5, n=12)74% (1443–503, n=1946)46% (323–386, n=709)
Consensus PnL$624K-$469$298K$250K
Tracked asPM monthly #36was PM monthly #993PM monthly #45PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)no open consensus position61% (161 of 264 open)62% (61 of 98 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic——College Basketball −3 pts, n=123—
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%—48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢0%—32% (won 5% of 159)7% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 100% of 3)—24% (won 43% of 119)39% (won 100% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢63% (won 100% of 5)—14% (won 61% of 70)47% (won 100% of 108)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—29% (won 95% of 142)7% (won 100% of 17)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 29 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-176631754118895deFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $186K—Suns $634Hornets $16K
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
Pistons $12K—Pistons $277Pistons $28
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Pistons $48K—Wizards $4.2K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $3.8KMavericks $14K
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Capitals
——Devils $72Capitals $14K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $151Over $7.6K
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
——Wizards $2.9KPistons $3.1K
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——Raptors $1276ers $5.8K
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $597Over $4.9K
Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.3K—Under $45—
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
——Pistons $769Wizards $3.5K
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Wild $1.8KMaple Leafs $715
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Lightning
——Lightning $1.4KBlue Jackets $719
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.4KUnder $115
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Wizards $1.3KPistons $82
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
——Timberwolves $995Mavericks $31
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $818Over $173
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $670Over $4
Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $310Over $51
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
——Sabres $143Blackhawks $164
Matsuyama: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jay Dylan Friend
opposite sides · consensus Jay Dylan Friend
——Yu-Hsiou Hsu $230Jay Dylan Friend $65
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $80Over $198
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $147Over $111
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $66Over $128
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
——Avalanche $23Senators $149
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $64Over $44
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $62
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Stars $16Jets $13
W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Olivia Gadecki
opposite sides · consensus Olivia Gadecki
——Joanna Garland $5Olivia Gadecki $18
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $12Suns $5
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $7.2KTimberwolves $53K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——76ers $11K76ers $40K
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $1.9KPistons $42K
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5Under $18K
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Avalanche
——Avalanche $151Avalanche $11K
Hornets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
——Suns $4.6KSuns $3.7K
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Mavericks $126Mavericks $7.1K
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $1.1K76ers $5.3K
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $148Raptors $5.6K
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
——Wizards $3.3KWizards $1.4K
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $294Raptors $2.9K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.3KUnder $641
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.3KOver $1.2K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $619Under $702
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $75Under $837
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
same side · consensus Maple Leafs
——Maple Leafs $112Maple Leafs $795
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
——Mavericks $681Mavericks $24
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $698Under $4
Spread: Suns (-5.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
——Hornets $620Hornets $2
Spread: Timberwolves (-16.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
——Timberwolves $443Timberwolves $141