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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x33d069...d826c0 | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 0% (0–1, n=1) | 53% (516–455, n=971) | 81% (22–5, n=27) | 54% (452–389, n=841) |
| Consensus PnL | -$2.0K | $362K | $328K | $322K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #460 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #117 | PM monthly #267 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (141 of 214 open) | no open consensus position | 55% (110 of 199 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% | 71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 4% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 40% of 81) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 13% (won 100% of 3) | 24% (won 62% of 144) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 21% (won 80% of 5) | 43% (won 74% of 261) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 63% (won 100% of 15) | 20% (won 98% of 119) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
52 on the same side, 47 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x33d069...d826c0 | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington vs. Michigan State opposite sides · consensus Washington | — | Michigan State $24K | — | Washington $86K |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $23K | — | Mavericks $149 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $21K | — | Nuggets $350 |
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Canadiens | — | Canadiens $10K | — | Avalanche $11K |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $11K | — | Over $4.8K |
| Arizona State vs. UCF: O/U 45.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $219 | — | Under $13K |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State opposite sides · consensus Boise State | — | Boise State $11K | — | Oregon State $366 |
| Spread: Pistons (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Pistons $5.2K | — | Heat $5.2K |
| Spread: South Carolina (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Arkansas | — | South Carolina $6.8K | — | Arkansas $3.0K |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 57.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.6K | — | Under $5.0K |
| Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $7.0K | — | Over $590 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | — | Pelicans $6.5K | — | Nuggets $496 |
| Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $3.5K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $5.9K | — | Mavericks $173 |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.1K | — | Over $1.8K |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Virginia Tech $1.5K | — | Stanford $4.3K |
| Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.0K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $1.1K |
| San Jose State vs. Air Force: O/U 47.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.7K | — | Over $1.6K |
| Colorado State vs. Washington State: O/U 63.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $3.8K |
| Spread: Mavericks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | — | Cavaliers $4.8K | — | Mavericks $330 |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning opposite sides · consensus Lightning | — | Red Wings $1.4K | — | Lightning $3.5K |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 41.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.4K | — | Under $361 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.8K | — | Wyoming $2.2K |
| North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.4K | — | Over $382 |
| Arizona State vs. UCF opposite sides · consensus Arizona State | — | Arizona State $3.6K | — | UCF $62 |
| Spread: Mavericks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $3.4K | — | Mavericks $218 |
| Stanford vs. Virginia Tech opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech | — | Stanford $831 | — | Virginia Tech $2.8K |
| Spread: New Mexico (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus UNLV | — | New Mexico $2.7K | — | UNLV $436 |
| Spread: Wyoming (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP | — | UTEP $1.9K | — | Wyoming $664 |
| Panthers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.0K | — | Over $488 |
| North Dakota State vs. Hawai'i: O/U 39.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | — | Over $265 |
| Utah State vs. San Diego State: O/U 43.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $524 | — | Under $1.7K |
| Panthers vs. Blues opposite sides · consensus Blues | — | Panthers $1.5K | — | Blues $210 |
| South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $572 | — | Under $1.2K |
| Spread: North Dakota State (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | Hawai'i $1.4K | — | North Dakota State $85 |
| Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 67.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $630 | — | Over $805 |
| Spread: Virginia Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Stanford | — | Virginia Tech $531 | — | Stanford $877 |
| Oilers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $708 | — | Over $362 |
| Texas vs. LSU opposite sides · consensus LSU | — | LSU $189 | — | Texas $704 |
| Spread: New Mexico (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus New Mexico | — | New Mexico $736 | — | UNLV $154 |
| Brown Bears vs. Siena Saints opposite sides · consensus Brown Bears | — | Siena Saints $208 | — | Brown Bears $562 |
| UAB Blazers vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks opposite sides · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks | — | Jacksonville State Gamecocks $21 | — | UAB Blazers $689 |
| Spread: Air Force (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Air Force | — | Air Force $4 | — | San Jose State $676 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Pistons $232 | — | Heat $332 |
| Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies | — | North Dakota Fighting Hawks $206 | — | Montana Grizzlies $218 |
| Devils vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $51 | — | Over $89 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $24K | — | Grizzlies $29K |
| Appalachian State vs. Marshall: O/U 55.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $5.9K | — | Under $18K |
| Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $18K | — | Over $2.5K |