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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2dda38...f23b34HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (448–384, n=832)48% (513–552, n=1065)85% (22–4, n=26)
Consensus PnL$0$332K$546K$318K
Tracked asPM monthly #979PM monthly #10PM monthly #18PM monthly #120
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position65% (175 of 271 open)65% (98 of 150 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%91% of 23 at avg 70¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 19)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—31% (won 100% of 70)37% (won 100% of 126)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 171)22% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—7% (won 100% of 16)7% (won 100% of 25)61% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

34 on the same side, 31 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2dda38...f23b34HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $1.2KHurricanes $40K—
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
—Texas A&M $6.1KTennessee $25K—
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.3KUnder $25K—
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
—Ohio State $363Northwestern $19K—
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6.8KUnder $12K—
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.5KUSC $14K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.7KOver $11K—
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
—Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $5.3KOver $5.5K—
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Bruins $544Wild $9.9K—
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
—Blue Jackets $826Flyers $9.0K—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $9.0KOver $540—
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
—Liberty $2.6KMiddle Tennessee $6.3K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.4K—
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.0KOver $125—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
—Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.3K—
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Stanford $831Virginia Tech $6.3K—
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KOver $2.1K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $3.5KMavericks $1.4K—
Spread: West Virginia (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus West Virginia
—West Virginia $410Kansas $3.7K—
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
—LSU Tigers $1.6KGonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K—
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves
—George Mason Patriots $1.3KBradley Braves $2.2K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.5K—
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
—Ducks $1.9KIslanders $201—
Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13Under $1.6K—
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $740Hurricanes $741—
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
—Northern Kentucky Norse $6Central Michigan Chippewas $1.3K—
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
—Florida $18Kentucky $1.2K—
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
—Rice $305Tulane $608—
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—Bradley Braves $108George Mason Patriots $493—
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—George Mason Patriots $9Bradley Braves $2—
Spread: Ohio State (-14.5)
same side · consensus Northwestern
—Northwestern $21KNorthwestern $20K—
Spread: Texas State (-9.5)
same side · consensus Texas State
—Texas State $15KTexas State $22K—
Spread: Alabama (-14.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
—Vanderbilt $5.7KVanderbilt $30K—
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
—Kansas $6.6KKansas $27K—
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Kennesaw State
—Kennesaw State $3.0KKennesaw State $30K—
Wisconsin vs. Maryland
same side · consensus Wisconsin
—Wisconsin $3.3KWisconsin $29K—
Fresno State vs. Texas State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KOver $22K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.4KOver $15K—
Syracuse vs. NC State
same side · consensus NC State
—NC State $4.4KNC State $16K—
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $19KUnder $608—
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
same side · consensus Coastal Carolina
—Coastal Carolina $8.4KCoastal Carolina $10K—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
same side · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $48Miami (FL) $12K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Nets
—Nets $870Nets $10K—
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)
same side · consensus Red Wings
—Lightning $765Lightning $9.9K—
California vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.4KUnder $3.5K—
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
—New Mexico $704New Mexico $6.5K—
Spread: Miami (FL) (-13.5)
same side · consensus Miami (FL)
—Miami (FL) $4.1KMiami (FL) $2.2K—
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $1.5KVirginia Tech $4.5K—
Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 45.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.0KOver $3.8K—