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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
haveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (412–350, n=762)55% (370–304, n=674)63% (48–28, n=76)
Consensus PnL$0$358K$436K$1.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #8PM monthly #95PM monthly #12 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (91 of 133 open)51% (53 of 103 open)55% (6 of 11 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 2)14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 62)24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—59% (won 100% of 115)43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 15)18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkethaveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazardnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $2.6KClippers $14KThunder $3.8K
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Clippers $875Thunder $146K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $93K
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $2.8KHouston $4.5K—
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $840Houston $5.8K—
Dolphins vs. Colts: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.4KUnder $1.1K—
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $4.9KOver $30—
Wisconsin vs. Maryland: O/U 41.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.2KUnder $2.4K—
Spread: James Madison (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus UConn
—UConn $2.1KJames Madison $1.3K—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $2.6KKings $36—
Spread: Alabama (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Vanderbilt
—Alabama $1.5KVanderbilt $983—
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $2.5KUSC $2—
Spread: UCLA (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus UCLA
—Illinois $346UCLA $1.9K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $2.1KGolden Knights $103—
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $2.0KClippers $15—
Spread: Auburn (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
—Mississippi State $393Auburn $373—
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $22Under $202—
Alabama vs. Vanderbilt
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
—Alabama $62Vanderbilt $13—
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
——Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
——Team Falcons $985Team Falcons $136K
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $12KOver $1.5K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13KUnder $162—
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $8.7KThunder $2.5K—
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)
same side · consensus Indiana
—Indiana $6.4KIndiana $911—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $5.5KThunder $55—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KOver $70—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Texans
—Browns $2.3KBrowns $1.2K—
Spread: Kennesaw State (-7.5)
same side · consensus Sam Houston
—Kennesaw State $2.2KKennesaw State $1.3K—
Houston vs. Colorado: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $97Over $2.8K—
Spread: Alabama (-16.5)
same side · consensus Vanderbilt
—Vanderbilt $2.1KVanderbilt $542—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $558Trail Blazers $1.9K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $1.3K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $379Kings $1.8K—
Illinois vs. UCLA
same side · consensus UCLA
—UCLA $1.2KUCLA $837—
Sharks vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.7KUnder $5—
Illinois vs. UCLA: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $810Over $344—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $1.1KColts $3—
Cincinnati vs. Iowa State: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6Over $861—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
same side · consensus South Carolina
—South Carolina $265South Carolina $546—
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
—Colorado $74Colorado $731—
Spread: Houston (-8.5)
same side · consensus Houston
—Houston $483Houston $164—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $508Under $138—
Spread: BYU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Baylor
—BYU $291BYU $348—
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)
same side · consensus Texas A&M
—Texas A&M $23Texas A&M $524—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $99Over $425—
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
same side · consensus Hurricanes
—Kraken $46Kraken $57—