Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
binaklkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)51% (44–42, n=86)48% (701–773, n=1474)53% (539–479, n=1018)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$26K$871K$642K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #14PM monthly #65PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position55% (82 of 148 open)55% (63 of 115 open)58% (7 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 768 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 45% of 89)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbinaklkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99VirIntrepidus
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
—Bills $106KBills $122KJets $72K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
—Jaguars $13KJaguars $73KTitans $198K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $23K49ers $79KCowboys $275
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
—Vikings $28KPackers $21KVikings $16K
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—76ers $22K76ers $4.1KPacers $248
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
—Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $144K—
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $12KChiefs $21K—
Jaguars vs. Titans: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $24KUnder $2.1K—
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Vikings
——Packers $6.3KVikings $14K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $9.1K—Chiefs $8.8K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $17K76ers $23—
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Dolphins $13KColts $2.0K—
Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $15KOver $270—
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $11KUnder $185—
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.1KYes $6.0K—
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.7KOver $4.8K—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.7KUnder $3.2K—
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $4.6KOver $2.2K—
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Bills $619Jets $5.7K—
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $4.8KCardinals $199—
Bills vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $4.0KUnder $701—
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $585Under $885—
Will Italy win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3KYes $20—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $62Oklahoma $623—
Will Belgium vs. Italy end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $471Yes $9—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $19K—Seahawks $63K
Pacers vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $75K76ers $2.8K—
Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $29KUnder $32K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $3.4KJaguars $20K—
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $21KBrowns $461—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $19KOver $562—
Steelers vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
—Steelers $19KSteelers $317—
Belgium vs. Italy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $12KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Bills (-9.5)
same side · consensus Jets
—Bills $4.3KBills $7.2K—
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $696Bills $10K—
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $3.3K—Cowboys $5.9K
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $6.8KOver $278—
Spread: Saints (-2.5)
same side · consensus Saints
—Panthers $5.7KPanthers $1.3K—
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.6KOver $2.0K—
Rams vs. Cardinals: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4.4KUnder $284—
Spread: Colts (-6.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $1.3K—
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.2KYes $650—
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $833Under $9—
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Titans
—Titans $653—Titans $120
Washington Huskies vs. Utah Utes
same side · consensus Utah Utes
—Utah Utes $20Utah Utes $281—
Spread: Panthers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Saints
—Panthers $102Panthers $147—