Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
binaklFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)51% (44–42, n=86)71% (3004–1251, n=4255)48% (701–773, n=1474)90% (18–2, n=20)
Consensus PnL$26K$519K$871K$530K
Tracked asPM monthly #863PM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #59
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (130 of 240 open)55% (82 of 148 open)58% (7 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=15, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=612——
Settled positions, side won—41% of 1333 at avg 43¢, ROI −2%100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%100% of 15 at avg 49¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—41% (won 6% of 540)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 38% of 322)34% (won 100% of 159)40% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 62% of 152)52% (won 100% of 243)33% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—24% (won 94% of 319)9% (won 100% of 42)13% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbinaklFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighVirIntrepidus
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $1549ers $23KCowboys $275
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $55Falcons $9.1KChiefs $8.8K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $627Seahawks $19KSeahawks $63K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Titans
——Jaguars $13KTitans $198K
Bills vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $106KJets $72K
Will England win on 2026-11-15?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $71KNo $2.1K—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $19K—
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $22KPacers $248
Dolphins vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $56Dolphins $13K—
Spain vs. England: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KOver $6.8K—
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
—Raptors $90Knicks $9.2K—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $370Jazz $5.1K—
Will Spain vs. England end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $5.3KNo $142—
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $68876ers $2.9K—
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—76ers $879Pacers $1.4K—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K—
High Point Panthers vs. Saint Louis Billikens
opposite sides · consensus Saint Louis Billikens
—High Point Panthers $611Saint Louis Billikens $1.4K—
Will France vs. Türkiye end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $739No $792—
Missouri Tigers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
—Marquette Golden Eagles $1.2KMissouri Tigers $9—
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
—Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $13—
Drummondville: Joshua Peck vs Theodore Dean
opposite sides · consensus Theodore Dean
—Theodore Dean $805Joshua Peck $280—
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—76ers $890Pacers $153—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—76ers $679Pacers $207—
Temple Owls vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 153.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3Under $439—
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Marquette Golden Eagles
—Missouri Tigers $16Marquette Golden Eagles $116—
Drummondville: Matt Kuhar vs Vladislav Melnic
opposite sides · consensus Matt Kuhar
—Matt Kuhar $27Vladislav Melnic $20—
Will CD Godoy Cruz vs. CSD Tristan Suarez end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $16No $14—
Pacers vs. 76ers
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $7.4K76ers $75K—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
——Vikings $28KVikings $16K
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $19KYes $1.2K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $1.9KPacers $17K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
—Vikings $642—Vikings $14K
Will Italy win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—No $9.5KNo $1.3K—
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $3.3KCowboys $5.9K
Lima: Franco Roncadelli vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
same side · consensus Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
—Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $2.2KNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $6.7K—
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $125Suns $6.0K—
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $672Under $3.9K—
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $41876ers $2.8K—
ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
—Arthur Fils $179Arthur Fils $1.8K—
Will Türkiye win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.9KYes $6—
Spread: Pacers (-1.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $1.2K76ers $5—
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
same side · consensus Oklahoma
—Ole Miss $1.1KOle Miss $62—
Fraport Skyliners vs. Gladiators Trier
same side · consensus Gladiators Trier
—Gladiators Trier $593Gladiators Trier $360—
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Titans
——Titans $653Titans $120
Will Croatia vs. Czechia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $628Yes $19—
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. North Dakota State Bison
same side · consensus North Dakota State Bison
—North Dakota State Bison $77North Dakota State Bison $192—