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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
asdkd938e9ddjdfantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (12–11, n=23)72% (1945–745, n=2690)48% (446–481, n=927)
Consensus PnL—$567K$410K$521K
Tracked asPM monthly #913PM monthly #37PM monthly #14PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position53% (125 of 235 open)52% (43 of 82 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic——Soccer ±0 pts, n=381—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—54% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)37% (won 100% of 110)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 150)
Entries 70¢ and up—8% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketasdkd938e9ddjdfantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
——Predators $333Golden Knights $11K
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $8.2KWarriors $241
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.0KOver $6.4K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $4.9K
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $333Rockets $1.4K
Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren
opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
——August Holmgren $1.1KSebastian Gorzny $630
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Thunder $388Clippers $558
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide
——Alabama Crimson Tide $703Seton Hall Pirates $210
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $793Over $2
Stanford Cardinal vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
opposite sides · consensus UNLV Runnin' Rebels
——UNLV Runnin' Rebels $764Stanford Cardinal $19
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $608Warriors $2
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $512Under $21
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
——Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $2
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $73Trail Blazers $20
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6Under $23
Jazz vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $3.9KRockets $88K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KUnder $51K
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
——Rangers $1.5KRangers $39K
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
——Rangers $221Rangers $35K
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $1.1KSpurs $24K
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $164Kings $22K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $505Over $17K
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KUnder $2.3K
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $1.9KJazz $1.1K
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $2.3KJazz $364
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.4KOver $5
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $1.8KJazz $10
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
——Clippers $1.4KClippers $264
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $1.0KClippers $332
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $515Clippers $844
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Spurs $560Spurs $746
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
——Jazz $403Jazz $823
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $487Kings $16
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
——Jazz $441Jazz $59
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $25Over $415
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $220Clippers $25
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
——Warriors $124Warriors $120
W50 Yokohama: Kanon Sawashiro vs Heather Watson
same side · consensus Heather Watson
——Kanon Sawashiro $151Kanon Sawashiro $57
Spread: Spurs (-28.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Spurs $138Spurs $19
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $133Under $4
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
——Predators $86Predators $3
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $4Warriors $77
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $55Under $3
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $46Clippers $5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Kings $16Kings $2