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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpfurialetsgokeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)71% (2823–1176, n=3999)100% (1–0, n=1)47% (670–741, n=1411)53% (529–468, n=997)
Consensus PnL$529K$28K$885K$639K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #929PM monthly #14PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensus52% (120 of 231 open)no open consensus position63% (45 of 72 open)55% (23 of 42 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=204———
Settled positions, side won41% of 1316 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%77% of 769 at avg 54¢, ROI +11%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 531)—5% (won 100% of 23)12% (won 44% of 90)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 38% of 315)—34% (won 100% of 159)25% (won 71% of 190)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 61% of 150)—52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 80% of 347)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 94% of 320)—9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 99% of 142)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

28 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpfurialetsgokeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
Otto Virtanen $392—Otto Virtanen $886Otto Virtanen $1
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $20KPepperdine Waves $140K
Latvia vs. Armenia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.7K—Under $34K—
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Packers
——Vikings $14KPackers $2.4K
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Vikings $303—Packers $15K—
Patriots vs. Lions: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $13KUnder $1.4K
Rams vs. Cardinals
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Rams $4.9KCardinals $199
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma
opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma
Ole Miss $1.6K——Oklahoma $494
CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.8K—Over $7—
Helsinki: Luka Mikrut vs Iiro Vasa
opposite sides · consensus Luka Mikrut
Luka Mikrut $803—Iiro Vasa $653—
France vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.2K—Over $297—
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Iberian Soul
Iberian Soul $16—Omega $787—
Will CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $119—No $95—
Orleans (Doubles): Liutarevich/Pieczonka vs Paul/Vocel
opposite sides · consensus Paul/Vocel
Liutarevich/Pieczonka $29—Paul/Vocel $124—
Will Cyprus vs. Montenegro end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $76—No $63—
Fraport Skyliners vs. Gladiators Trier
opposite sides · consensus Gladiators Trier
Fraport Skyliners $100—Gladiators Trier $28—
Montevideo: Bruno (2002) Oliveira vs Maximo Zeitune
opposite sides · consensus Maximo Zeitune
Maximo Zeitune $24—Bruno (2002) Oliveira $66—
Will Paris 13 Atletico vs. Red Star FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $21—Yes $21—
Bills vs. Jets
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $33KBills $3.6K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
——Patriots $19KPatriots $6.0K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Browns $19KBrowns $1.2K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $620—Seahawks $19K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $165—Falcons $15K—
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2K—Mertens/Zhang $9.3K—
Spread: Saints (-2.5)
same side · consensus Panthers
——Panthers $3.8KPanthers $887
Will Armenia win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K—No $362—
Panthers vs. Saints
same side · consensus Panthers
Panthers $3.3K——Panthers $238
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $489—76ers $2.7K—
Texans vs. Browns: O/U 40.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.2KOver $446
Helsinki: Michael Vrbensky vs Vadym Ursu
same side · consensus Michael Vrbensky
Vadym Ursu $977—Vadym Ursu $37—
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $205—Suns $809—
Belarus vs. Albania: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $9—Under $972—
Croatia vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $583—Under $303—
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Mavericks $159—Mavericks $533—
Will Cyprus win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $655—Yes $32—
Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
No $534—No $8—
Will Paris 13 Atletico win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
No $422—No $102—
Will GFA Rumilly Vallières win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus No
Yes $423—Yes $3—
Spread: France (-2.5)
same side · consensus France
France $149—France $209—
Will Red Star FC win on 2026-11-15?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $126—Yes $92—
Will Latvia vs. Armenia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $86—Yes $1—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49——Colts $3
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Emirates Eagles vs UAE Bulls
same side · consensus UAE Bulls
UAE Bulls $9—UAE Bulls $43—
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Royal Desert Champions vs Arabian Aces
same side · consensus Royal Desert Champions
Royal Desert Champions $3—Royal Desert Champions $23—
Montevideo: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Santiago De la Fuente
same side · consensus Felipe Meligeni Alves
Santiago De la Fuente $1—Santiago De la Fuente $14—