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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | YEEES-but-why | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 74% (1443–503, n=1946) | 53% (307–269, n=576) | 40% (4–6, n=10) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $298K | $308K | $365K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #45 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #70 | PM monthly #503 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (171 of 279 open) | 66% (95 of 144 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | College Basketball −3 pts, n=123 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 80% of 5 at avg 39¢, ROI +62% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 32% (won 5% of 159) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 0% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 43% of 119) | 30% (won 100% of 49) | 60% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 61% of 70) | 62% (won 100% of 101) | 20% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 29% (won 95% of 142) | 8% (won 100% of 13) | 0% | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl | YEEES-but-why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $3.8K | Mavericks $6.4K | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators opposite sides · consensus Senators | Avalanche $240 | Senators $9.4K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.0K | Under $7.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $5.7K | Mavericks $68 | — | — |
| Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 213.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $628 | Over $4.1K | — | — |
| Blues vs. Utah: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $43 | Over $4.4K | — | — |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks opposite sides · consensus Sabres | Sabres $143 | Blackhawks $3.3K | — | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $294 | 76ers $3.1K | — | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | 76ers $2.9K | Raptors $21 | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.8K | Under $1.1K | — | — |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs opposite sides · consensus Wild | Wild $1.8K | Maple Leafs $526 | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Suns $558 | Hornets $1.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $277 | Wizards $2.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Bakersfield Roadrunners (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bakersfield Roadrunners | Western Illinois Leathernecks $16 | Bakersfield Roadrunners $1.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves | Mavericks $684 | Timberwolves $6 | — | — |
| Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Oklahoma State Cowboys | Oklahoma State Cowboys $114 | Texas A&M Aggies $382 | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $104 | Over $21 | — | — |
| Spread: UTEP Miners (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus UTEP Miners | UTEP Miners $99 | New Mexico State Aggies $3 | — | — |
| Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $64 | Over $13 | — | — |
| Spread: Rhode Island Rams (-24.5) opposite sides · consensus Rhode Island Rams | Rhode Island Rams $4 | Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks $15 | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) same side · consensus Wizards | Wizards $3.9K | Wizards $49K | — | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $1.6K | 76ers $37K | — | — |
| Jets vs. Stars same side · consensus Stars | Stars $417 | Stars $10K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $7.5K | Timberwolves $74 | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Packers | Vikings $6 | Vikings $6.5K | — | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $3.2K | Pistons $2.6K | — | — |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $45 | Under $4.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Suns (-5.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Hornets $620 | Hornets $3.6K | — | — |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 178.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $49 | Under $3.0K | — | — |
| Seahawks vs. Raiders same side · consensus Seahawks | Seahawks $546 | Seahawks $1.5K | — | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Chiefs | Falcons $169 | Falcons $1.2K | — | — |
| Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $910 | Over $229 | — | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — | — |
| Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7 | Under $1.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Richmond Spiders (-2.5) same side · consensus Southern Illinois Salukis | Southern Illinois Salukis $2 | Southern Illinois Salukis $1.0K | — | — |
| Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $708 | Over $15 | — | — |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Texas A&M Aggies same side · consensus Texas A&M Aggies | Texas A&M Aggies $645 | Texas A&M Aggies $43 | — | — |
| Canadiens vs. Bruins same side · consensus Canadiens | Canadiens $263 | Canadiens $385 | — | — |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | Timberwolves $431 | Timberwolves $202 | — | — |
| Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $597 | Under $1 | — | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-4.5) same side · consensus 76ers | Raptors $263 | Raptors $132 | — | — |
| Richmond Spiders vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 153.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $43 | Under $326 | — | — |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $39 | Under $297 | — | — |
| Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-8.5) same side · consensus Texas A&M Aggies | Texas A&M Aggies $30 | Texas A&M Aggies $130 | — | — |
| Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-1.5) same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars | South Alabama Jaguars $121 | South Alabama Jaguars $35 | — | — |
| Richmond Spiders vs. Southern Illinois Salukis: O/U 152.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $3 | Under $93 | — | — |
| Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $30 | Under $36 | — | — |
| Spread: Alabama A&M Bulldogs (-7.5) same side · consensus West Florida Argonauts | Alabama A&M Bulldogs $45 | Alabama A&M Bulldogs $4 | — | — |
| West Florida Argonauts vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogs same side · consensus Alabama A&M Bulldogs | West Florida Argonauts $3 | West Florida Argonauts $10 | — | — |
| Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2 | Over $7 | — | — |