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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Flaznorpgoogleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)92% (11–1, n=12)74% (1443–503, n=1946)50% (6–6, n=12)46% (323–386, n=709)
Consensus PnL$5.8K$298K$423K$250K
Tracked asPM monthly #885PM monthly #45PM monthly #17PM monthly #26
Sides with the consensus83% (30 of 36 open)60% (169 of 281 open)no open consensus position62% (67 of 108 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—College Basketball −3 pts, n=123——
Settled positions, side won—48% of 490 at avg 48¢, ROI 0%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 228 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—32% (won 5% of 159)0%7% (won 100% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢—24% (won 43% of 119)17% (won 100% of 1)39% (won 100% of 88)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 61% of 70)83% (won 100% of 5)47% (won 100% of 108)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 95% of 142)0%7% (won 100% of 17)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Flaznorpgoogleplaykeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $3.8K—Mavericks $14K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Suns $634—Hornets $17K
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Capitals
—Devils $69—Capitals $14K
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $2.7K—Pistons $3.1K
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $12—76ers $5.8K
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $597—Over $4.9K
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Pistons $807—Wizards $3.5K
Avalanche vs. Senators
opposite sides · consensus Senators
—Avalanche $250—Senators $3.7K
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $744—Under $3.1K
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
opposite sides · consensus Wild
—Wild $1.8K—Maple Leafs $715
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $67—76ers $1.9K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2K—Over $326
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Under $115
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 241.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $818—Over $173
Spread: Timberwolves (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Timberwolves $757—Mavericks $31
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $670—Over $4
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
—Raptors $263—76ers $204
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
—Senators $316—Avalanche $9
Sabres vs. Blackhawks
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
—Sabres $143—Blackhawks $164
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $110—Over $128
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $95—Over $111
Spread: Senators (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Senators
—Avalanche $23—Senators $149
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $64—Over $44
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $80—Over $16
Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $62
W75 Brisbane: Joanna Garland vs Olivia Gadecki
opposite sides · consensus Olivia Gadecki
—Joanna Garland $5—Olivia Gadecki $58
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Stars $16—Jets $13
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $12—Suns $5
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Timberwolves $5.7K—Timberwolves $53K
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—76ers $15K—76ers $40K
Jets vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
—Stars $342—Stars $50K
Pistons vs. Wizards
same side · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $3.7K—Pistons $41K
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—76ers $3.1K—76ers $33K
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 214.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5—Under $18K
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Avalanche
—Avalanche $151—Avalanche $11K
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Mavericks $684—Mavericks $7.1K
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $1.1K—76ers $5.3K
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $297—Over $6.1K
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $416—Raptors $5.6K
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
same side · consensus Wizards
—Wizards $3.3K—Wizards $1.4K
Hornets vs. Suns
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $3.8K—Suns $773
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $1.1K—76ers $2.6K
Spread: 76ers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $294—Raptors $2.9K
Raptors vs. 76ers: O/U 240.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.0K—Under $1.1K
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
—76ers $2.2K—76ers $844
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Over $214
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $665—Under $655
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 245.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $98—Under $837
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
same side · consensus Maple Leafs
—Maple Leafs $112—Maple Leafs $795
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)
same side · consensus Timberwolves
—Mavericks $836—Mavericks $24