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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2dda38...f23b34FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2284–931, n=3215)54% (448–384, n=832)48% (513–552, n=1065)
Consensus PnL$0$430K$332K$546K
Tracked asPM monthly #979PM monthly #13PM monthly #10PM monthly #18
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (155 of 321 open)65% (175 of 271 open)65% (98 of 150 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 988 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%100% of 341 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 396)1% (won 100% of 3)6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 215)31% (won 100% of 70)37% (won 100% of 126)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 63% of 112)60% (won 100% of 135)50% (won 100% of 171)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 265)7% (won 100% of 16)7% (won 100% of 25)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

54 on the same side, 59 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2dda38...f23b34FlaznorpHomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $23Kraken $1.2KHurricanes $40K
Arkansas State vs. Coastal Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina
—Arkansas State $387Coastal Carolina $8.4KCoastal Carolina $10K
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $397Miami (FL) $48Miami (FL) $12K
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $314Under $8.0KOver $125
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $127Cavaliers $3.5KMavericks $1.4K
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bradley Braves
—George Mason Patriots $73George Mason Patriots $1.3KBradley Braves $2.2K
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $12Kraken $740Hurricanes $741
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan Chippewas
—Northern Kentucky Norse $4Northern Kentucky Norse $6Central Michigan Chippewas $1.3K
Spread: George Mason Patriots (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—Bradley Braves $64Bradley Braves $108George Mason Patriots $493
Bradley Braves vs. George Mason Patriots
opposite sides · consensus George Mason Patriots
—George Mason Patriots $589George Mason Patriots $9Bradley Braves $2
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
—Kansas $3Kansas $6.6KKansas $27K
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Colorado State Rams
same side · consensus Loyola Chicago Ramblers
—Loyola Chicago Ramblers $366Loyola Chicago Ramblers $1Loyola Chicago Ramblers $27
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
same side · consensus Kraken
—Kraken $9Kraken $116Kraken $43
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M
opposite sides · consensus Tennessee
——Texas A&M $6.1KTennessee $25K
Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Cavaliers $45—Mavericks $31K
Sweden vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28—Under $30K
Syracuse vs. NC State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.3KUnder $25K
Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern
——Ohio State $363Northwestern $19K
Auburn vs. Mississippi State: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.8KUnder $12K
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Indiana
——Indiana $2.5KUSC $14K
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $10KCavaliers $5.7K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.7KOver $11K
Devils vs. Capitals
opposite sides · consensus Devils
——Capitals $1.5KDevils $12K
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.3KOver $5.5K
Wild vs. Bruins
opposite sides · consensus Wild
——Bruins $544Wild $9.9K
Flyers vs. Blue Jackets
opposite sides · consensus Blue Jackets
——Blue Jackets $826Flyers $9.0K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $9.0KOver $540
Spread: Liberty (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liberty
——Liberty $2.6KMiddle Tennessee $6.3K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Bulls $1.2KTimberwolves $7.4K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa
opposite sides · consensus Tulsa
——Florida Atlantic $1.5KTulsa $6.3K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.5K—Denmark $6.2K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.5K—Under $3.8K
Stanford vs. Virginia Tech
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Stanford $831Virginia Tech $6.3K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KOver $2.1K
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.7K—Under $3.9K
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4.6K—Yes $80
Spread: West Virginia (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus West Virginia
——West Virginia $410Kansas $3.7K
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Gonzaga Bulldogs
——LSU Tigers $1.6KGonzaga Bulldogs $2.4K
Northern Ireland vs. Ukraine: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $257—Over $3.5K
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $420Pistons $2.7K—
Avalanche vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
——Canadiens $26Avalanche $2.5K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Ducks $1.9KIslanders $201
Georgia Tech vs. Clemson: O/U 47.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $13Under $1.6K
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $460—Kentucky $940
Will Algeria win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $88
Spread: Kentucky (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida
——Florida $18Kentucky $1.2K
Knoxville: Clement Chidekh vs Michael Zheng
opposite sides · consensus Clement Chidekh
—Michael Zheng $987—Clement Chidekh $204
Will Angola win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $912—No $6
Tulane vs. Rice
opposite sides · consensus Rice
——Rice $305Tulane $608
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus Arkansas
—Arkansas $625South Carolina $263—