
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Colorado State Rams
9 of 15 top Polymarket traders hold Loyola Chicago Ramblers (60%) · Loyola Chicago Ramblers at 92¢ · $3K held · ended Nov 14
⚠️
Avoid
Loyola Chicago Ramblers
15
Loyola Chicago Ramblers 60%
$2.9K
$332.64
59.7¢ → 91.5¢
+53% since entry · 9 traders
Research grade
AvoidLoyola Chicago Ramblers at 92%
Matches a pattern that lost clearly more than the plain consensus in our tests.
- BasketballFull year, out of sample: basketball lost −4.8 % a trade (n 1,747, 95 % CI −9.2 to +0.3); Oct 22 backtest: −12.0 % and −9.2 % in its two windows.
- Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
9 of 15 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NO NotJump | Loyola Chicago Ramblersavg 50.8¢ | $600.01 | $642.82 | +$52.82 | 51% 850-801 (1651) |
![]() RN1 | Loyola Chicago Ramblersavg 57.8¢ | $425.94 | $603.88 | +$177.93 | 55% 5402-4371 (9773) |
TH thirdt1me | Loyola Chicago Ramblersavg 57.7¢ | $306.17 | $485.7 | +$179.53 | 48% 281-301 (582) |
FL Flaznorp | Loyola Chicago Ramblersavg 81.8¢ | $364.79 | $365.65 | +$0.86 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
38 38791873984189 | Loyola Chicago Ramblersavg 56.2¢ | $224.38 | $319.19 | +$94.81 | 48% 3239-3552 (6791) |
0X 0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872 | Loyola Chicago Ramblersavg 59¢ | $516.54 | $229.69 | -$18.15 | 55% 1630-1336 (2966) |
PA Pan9X<$100 | Loyola Chicago Ramblersavg 67.7¢ | $68.64 | $77.72 | +$9.08 | 50% 1594-1620 (3214) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Colorado State Ramsavg 18.7¢ | $144.64 | $65.81 | -$78.83 | 38% 1014-1686 (2700) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Colorado State Ramsavg 20.1¢ | $66.58 | $28.17 | -$38.41 | 36% 975-1701 (2676) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100 | Loyola Chicago Ramblersavg 55¢ | $54.62 | $26.81 | -$27.81 | 50% 2543-2505 (5048) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Colorado State Ramsavg 20.8¢ | $28.32 | $11.56 | -$16.76 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
![]() 0xheavy888CTR<$100 | Colorado State Ramsavg 77¢ | $10.01 | $9.49 | -$0.52 | 54% 503-422 (925) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Colorado State Ramsavg 80¢ | $4 | $3.65 | -$0.35 | 41% 702-1012 (1714) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Colorado State Ramsavg 20¢ | $3.23 | $1.37 | -$1.86 | 37% 1002-1720 (2722) |
HO HomeRunHazard<$100 | Loyola Chicago Ramblersavg 21¢ | $1.05 | $1.35 | +$0.3 | 56% 3687-2847 (6534) |
Invested
$600.01
Value
$642.82
PnL
+$52.82
Record
51%
850-801 (1651)
RN1Invested
$425.94
Value
$603.88
PnL
+$177.93
Record
55%
5402-4371 (9773)
Invested
$306.17
Value
$485.7
PnL
+$179.53
Record
48%
281-301 (582)
Invested
$364.79
Value
$365.65
PnL
+$0.86
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Invested
$224.38
Value
$319.19
PnL
+$94.81
Record
48%
3239-3552 (6791)
Invested
$516.54
Value
$229.69
PnL
-$18.15
Record
55%
1630-1336 (2966)
Invested
$68.64
Value
$77.72
PnL
+$9.08
Record
50%
1594-1620 (3214)
Invested
$144.64
Value
$65.81
PnL
-$78.83
Record
38%
1014-1686 (2700)
Invested
$66.58
Value
$28.17
PnL
-$38.41
Record
36%
975-1701 (2676)
Invested
$54.62
Value
$26.81
PnL
-$27.81
Record
50%
2543-2505 (5048)
Invested
$28.32
Value
$11.56
PnL
-$16.76
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
0xheavy888CTR<$100Invested
$10.01
Value
$9.49
PnL
-$0.52
Record
54%
503-422 (925)
Invested
$4
Value
$3.65
PnL
-$0.35
Record
41%
702-1012 (1714)
Invested
$3.23
Value
$1.37
PnL
-$1.86
Record
37%
1002-1720 (2722)
Invested
$1.05
Value
$1.35
PnL
+$0.3
Record
56%
3687-2847 (6534)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
91.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
NotJump
Loyola Chicago Ramblers — $642.82

RN1
Loyola Chicago Ramblers — $603.88
thirdt1me
Loyola Chicago Ramblers — $485.7
Flaznorp
Loyola Chicago Ramblers — $365.65
38791873984189
Loyola Chicago Ramblers — $319.19
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872
Loyola Chicago Ramblers — $229.69
Pan9X
Loyola Chicago Ramblers — $77.72
MadridTime
CTRColorado State Rams — $65.81
Limousin
CTRColorado State Rams — $28.17
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Loyola Chicago Ramblers — $26.81