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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighwata33-ts
Record (consensus markets)52% (12–11, n=23)72% (1945–745, n=2690)48% (446–481, n=927)no settled market
Consensus PnL$567K$410K$521K—
Tracked asPM monthly #37PM monthly #14PM monthly #19PM monthly #825
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (109 of 216 open)52% (40 of 77 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%—
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)—
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)37% (won 100% of 110)—
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 150)—
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 22)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

30 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighwata33-ts
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $438Trail Blazers $31K—
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $333Golden Knights $11K—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $8.2KWarriors $241—
Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren
opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
—August Holmgren $1.1KSebastian Gorzny $630—
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $214Rockets $1.4K—
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Thunder $362Clippers $598—
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide
—Alabama Crimson Tide $703Seton Hall Pirates $210—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $801Under $21—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $784Over $2—
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $608Warriors $2—
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
—Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $2—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $88Trail Blazers $18—
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Rockets $56Jazz $6—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6Under $23—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5KUnder $51K—
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
—Rangers $1.5KRangers $39K—
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
—Rangers $221Rangers $35K—
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.1KSpurs $24K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $225Kings $22K—
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $505Over $20K—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.9KUnder $2.3K—
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.9KJazz $1.1K—
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.3KJazz $375—
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.4KOver $5—
Thunder vs. Clippers
same side · consensus Thunder
—Clippers $1.5KClippers $271—
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $1.8KJazz $10—
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $1.2KClippers $372—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $540Clippers $967—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $560Spurs $746—
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $369Jazz $823—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $599Kings $16—
W50 Yokohama: Kanon Sawashiro vs Heather Watson
same side · consensus Heather Watson
—Kanon Sawashiro $507Kanon Sawashiro $57—
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $25Over $415—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $336Kings $5—
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $220Clippers $25—
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Warriors $124Warriors $113—
Spread: Spurs (-28.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Spurs $138Spurs $19—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $133Under $4—
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
—Jazz $72Jazz $59—
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
—Predators $86Predators $3—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $4Warriors $77—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $53Clippers $8—
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $37Under $3—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Kings $20Kings $2—