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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
eleonorrigbyFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)59% (10–7, n=17)71% (3118–1302, n=4420)47% (735–824, n=1559)53% (578–504, n=1082)
Consensus PnL$34K$661K$653K$634K
Tracked asPM monthly #922PM monthly #7PM monthly #16PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)55% (109 of 200 open)52% (55 of 106 open)58% (46 of 80 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=653——
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 57¢, ROI +42%41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 5% of 566)5% (won 100% of 23)13% (won 41% of 104)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 2)24% (won 38% of 335)34% (won 100% of 161)25% (won 70% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 4)11% (won 62% of 157)52% (won 100% of 243)45% (won 78% of 370)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 94% of 326)9% (won 100% of 42)18% (won 97% of 149)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

25 on the same side, 51 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketeleonorrigbyFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Celtics $5.2KMavericks $1.0KCeltics $40K
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $539Knicks $8.4KRaptors $14K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $79Under $243Over $23K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $149Under $3.1KOver $5.8K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $328Over $7.9KUnder $463
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.8KOver $6.6KUnder $153
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Hornets $2.0KClippers $2.7KClippers $2.8K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Spurs $397Jazz $6.7KJazz $84
Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $10Under $857Under $1.1K
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $44Under $26Under $1.7K
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $611Under $100Under $614
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5Under $56Over $133
Lakers vs. Suns
same side · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $4.2KLakers $22KLakers $645
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $2.2KJazz $16KJazz $923
Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $617Under $6Under $445
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $116Under $6Under $261
Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks
——Oregon Ducks $19KPepperdine Waves $151K
49ers vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—Cowboys $17—49ers $109K
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——49ers $14KCowboys $59K
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $954Lakers $58K—
Oilers vs. Flyers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
——Flyers $11KOilers $15K
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $65Seahawks $16K
Spread: Lakers (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $1.2KSuns $13K—
Spread: Hornets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Hornets $251Clippers $11K—
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $376Lakers $11K—
Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $8.7KOver $1.4K
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Rockets $143Wizards $8.5K—
Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $6.6KOver $714
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.2KUnder $2.8K
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Knicks $4—Raptors $6.1K
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Lakers $1.2KSuns $1.2K—
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Bucks $163Hawks $2.0K—
Spread: 49ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——49ers $39Cowboys $1.9K
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Knicks $135—Raptors $1.6K
Champaign: Nicholas Mekhael vs Keshav Chopra
opposite sides · consensus Keshav Chopra
—Keshav Chopra $1.0KNicholas Mekhael $647—
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan Broncos
—Western Michigan Broncos $1.2KSouthern Indiana Screaming Eagles $44—
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Jazz $113Spurs $1.1K—
Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket
opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket
—Universo Treviso Basket $1.1KScafati Basket $20—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Mavericks $854—Celtics $283
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
—Wisconsin Badgers $4Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $1.1K—
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Mavericks $139—Celtics $859
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $797Lakers $196—
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
—Jazz $681—Spurs $131
Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420—Under $132
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 201.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $60Under $416—
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Suns $410Lakers $59—
Spread: Rams (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $33Rams $304
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $136Hornets $149—
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rockets
—Wizards $182—Rockets $90
Spread: Rams (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
——Cardinals $170Rams $13