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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| appleperson | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 72% (1945–745, n=2690) | 54% (345–290, n=635) | 59% (40–28, n=68) |
| Consensus PnL | $89 | $410K | $403K | $532K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #992 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #15 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 51% (109 of 215 open) | 54% (62 of 115 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 68¢, ROI +36% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% | 100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 40% (won 6% of 362) | 14% (won 33% of 73) | 3% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 21% (won 43% of 192) | 24% (won 56% of 125) | 33% (won 100% of 13) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | 43% (won 69% of 226) | 44% (won 100% of 17) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | 18% (won 98% of 96) | 21% (won 100% of 8) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
17 on the same side, 26 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | appleperson | Flaznorp | nigiri99 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Clippers opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $1.6K | Clippers $488 | Thunder $260K |
| Warriors vs. Spurs opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $8.2K | Spurs $8.3K | Warriors $3.4K |
| Spread: Thunder (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $585 | Clippers $9.6K | Thunder $7.5K |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Gen.G | — | — | Bilibili Gaming $1.1K | Gen.G $93K |
| Spread: Rockets (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $4.6K | Rockets $191 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $133 | Over $3.2K | — |
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | — | Georgia State $6 | Georgia Southern $2.7K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $789 | Over $1.2K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $242 | Trail Blazers $1.6K | — |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $460 | Yes $1.3K | — |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | Yes $366 | — |
| Rangers vs. Canucks opposite sides · consensus Rangers | — | Rangers $1.5K | Canucks $29 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Clippers $1.2K | Thunder $49 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-22.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Trail Blazers $130 | Kings $627 | — |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $290 | Yes $362 | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $505 | Under $116 | — |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $308 | Over $182 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | — | Thunder $446 | Clippers $12 | — |
| Spread: Kings (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $56 | Trail Blazers $395 | — |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $333 | Golden Knights $79 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | — | Warriors $17 | Spurs $259 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Clippers $160 | Thunder $10 | — |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $79 | Over $11 | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $5 | Under $81 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-37.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Rockets $6 | Jazz $45 | — |
| Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | Under $13 | — |
| Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | — | — | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333K | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs same side · consensus Team Falcons | — | — | Team Falcons $978 | Team Falcons $136K |
| Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | — | — | Gen.G $326 | Gen.G $43K |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $560 | Spurs $9.6K | — |
| Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Under $1.8K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.1K | Spurs $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Kings $477 | Kings $2.4K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $1.4K | Spurs $656 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-14.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $369 | Jazz $1.7K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-16.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $1.8K | Jazz $51 | — |
| Spread: Rangers (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | Rangers $221 | Rangers $1.2K | — |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Houston | — | Colorado $20 | Colorado $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Predators (-1.5) same side · consensus Golden Knights | — | Predators $86 | Predators $458 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Kings $2 | Kings $57 | — |
| Predators vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $15 | Under $40 | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-26.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Trail Blazers $39 | Trail Blazers $14 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $3 | — |