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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Secondhandvinyl
Record (consensus markets)72% (1945–745, n=2690)48% (446–481, n=927)59% (40–28, n=68)91% (163–17, n=180)
Consensus PnL$410K$521K$532K$897
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #19PM monthly #15 + pinnedPM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus51% (109 of 215 open)51% (40 of 78 open)50% (6 of 12 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%100% of 163 at avg 91¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)6% (won 100% of 19)3% (won 100% of 1)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)37% (won 100% of 110)33% (won 100% of 13)1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)50% (won 100% of 150)44% (won 100% of 17)3% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 22)21% (won 100% of 8)94% (won 100% of 154)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18Secondhandvinyl
Thunder vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Clippers $1.6KClippers $308Thunder $260K—
Warriors vs. Spurs
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $8.2KWarriors $241Warriors $3.4K—
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $585Clippers $943Thunder $7.5K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $477Trail Blazers $31K——
Predators vs. Golden Knights
opposite sides · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $333Golden Knights $11K——
Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren
opposite sides · consensus Sebastian Gorzny
August Holmgren $1.6KSebastian Gorzny $630——
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $214Rockets $1.4K——
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Thunder $336Clippers $628——
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $801Under $21——
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $789Over $2——
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
opposite sides · consensus Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide $703Seton Hall Pirates $83——
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Spurs $608Warriors $2——
UIC Flames vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
opposite sides · consensus Saint Mary's Gaels
Saint Mary's Gaels $328UIC Flames $2——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $96Trail Blazers $17——
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Rockets $56Jazz $6——
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6Under $23——
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5KUnder $50K——
Rangers vs. Canucks
same side · consensus Rangers
Rangers $1.5KRangers $39K——
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Canucks
Rangers $221Rangers $35K——
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $1.1KSpurs $24K——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $242Kings $22K——
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $505Over $17K——
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.9KUnder $2.4K——
Spread: Rockets (-17.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.9KJazz $1.1K——
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $2.4KJazz $377——
Warriors vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.4KOver $5——
Spread: Rockets (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $1.8KJazz $10——
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.2KClippers $384——
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Spurs $560Spurs $746——
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Jazz $369Jazz $823——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $554Kings $16——
W50 Yokohama: Kanon Sawashiro vs Heather Watson
same side · consensus Heather Watson
Kanon Sawashiro $507Kanon Sawashiro $57——
Rangers vs. Canucks: O/U 8.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $25Over $415——
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $220Clippers $25——
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Warriors $124Warriors $106——
Spread: Spurs (-28.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Spurs $138Spurs $19——
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $133Under $4——
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rockets
Jazz $76Jazz $59——
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $4Warriors $89——
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
same side · consensus Golden Knights
Predators $86Predators $3——
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Clippers $56Clippers $8——
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $37Under $3——
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $22Kings $2——