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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | visselkobe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (3118–1302, n=4420) | 47% (735–824, n=1559) | 53% (578–504, n=1082) | 57% (4–3, n=7) |
| Consensus PnL | $661K | $653K | $634K | $25K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #49 | PM monthly #895 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (109 of 200 open) | 52% (55 of 106 open) | 58% (46 of 80 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −1 pts, n=653 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 41% of 1384 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 469 at avg 52¢, ROI +45% | 75% of 826 at avg 53¢, ROI +13% | 100% of 4 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 41% (won 5% of 566) | 5% (won 100% of 23) | 13% (won 41% of 104) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 38% of 335) | 34% (won 100% of 161) | 25% (won 70% of 203) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 62% of 157) | 52% (won 100% of 243) | 45% (won 78% of 370) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 94% of 326) | 9% (won 100% of 42) | 18% (won 97% of 149) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
25 on the same side, 51 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | nigiri99 | visselkobe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Celtics $5.2K | Mavericks $1.0K | Celtics $40K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Raptors $539 | Knicks $8.4K | Raptors $14K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 213.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $79 | Under $243 | Over $23K | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $149 | Under $3.1K | Over $5.8K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $328 | Over $7.9K | Under $463 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.8K | Over $6.6K | Under $153 | — |
| Spread: Clippers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Hornets $2.0K | Clippers $2.7K | Clippers $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Spurs $397 | Jazz $6.7K | Jazz $84 | — |
| Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $10 | Under $857 | Under $1.1K | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 226.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $44 | Under $26 | Under $1.7K | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $611 | Under $100 | Under $614 | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5 | Under $56 | Over $133 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns same side · consensus Lakers | Lakers $4.2K | Lakers $22K | Lakers $645 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Jazz $2.2K | Jazz $16K | Jazz $923 | — |
| Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $617 | Under $6 | Under $445 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $116 | Under $6 | Under $261 | — |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks opposite sides · consensus Oregon Ducks | — | Oregon Ducks $19K | Pepperdine Waves $151K | — |
| 49ers vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus 49ers | Cowboys $17 | — | 49ers $109K | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | 49ers $14K | Cowboys $59K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $954 | Lakers $58K | — | — |
| Oilers vs. Flyers opposite sides · consensus Oilers | — | Flyers $11K | Oilers $15K | — |
| Spread: Seahawks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $65 | Seahawks $16K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-20.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Lakers $1.2K | Suns $13K | — | — |
| Spread: Hornets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Hornets $251 | Clippers $11K | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $376 | Lakers $11K | — | — |
| Rockets vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $8.7K | Over $1.4K | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Rockets $143 | Wizards $8.5K | — | — |
| Knicks vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6.6K | Over $714 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $4.2K | Under $2.8K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $4 | — | Raptors $6.1K | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Lakers $1.2K | Suns $1.2K | — | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Bucks $163 | Hawks $2.0K | — | — |
| Spread: 49ers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | 49ers $39 | Cowboys $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Knicks $135 | — | Raptors $1.6K | — |
| Champaign: Nicholas Mekhael vs Keshav Chopra opposite sides · consensus Keshav Chopra | Keshav Chopra $1.0K | Nicholas Mekhael $647 | — | — |
| Western Michigan Broncos vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles opposite sides · consensus Western Michigan Broncos | Western Michigan Broncos $1.2K | Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles $44 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Jazz $113 | Spurs $1.1K | — | — |
| Universo Treviso Basket vs. Scafati Basket opposite sides · consensus Universo Treviso Basket | Universo Treviso Basket $1.1K | Scafati Basket $20 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Mavericks | Mavericks $854 | — | Celtics $283 | — |
| Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | Wisconsin Badgers $4 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers $1.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Mavericks $139 | — | Celtics $859 | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Suns $797 | Lakers $196 | — | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $681 | — | Spurs $131 | — |
| Lakers vs. Suns: O/U 222.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $420 | — | Under $132 | — |
| Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 201.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $60 | Under $416 | — | — |
| Spread: Lakers (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Lakers | Suns $410 | Lakers $59 | — | — |
| Spread: Rams (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $33 | Rams $304 | — |
| Spread: Hornets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Clippers | Clippers $136 | Hornets $149 | — | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Rockets | Wizards $182 | — | Rockets $90 | — |
| Spread: Rams (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $170 | Rams $13 | — |