Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677MadridTimendb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)45% (10–12, n=22)46% (1269–1503, n=2772)63% (1014–591, n=1605)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$5.3M$4.6K$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #566PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus68% (238 of 352 open)no open consensus position53% (87 of 164 open)73% (62 of 85 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 792 at avg 71¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 58)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 158)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)15% (won 100% of 120)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 456)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

61 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677MadridTimendb1
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $17K—Under $540Under $6.4K
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Sofya Lansere
Noma Noha Akugue $589—Sofya Lansere $7.9K—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $6.4K—No $856—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.3K—Under $18—
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.7K—Yes $162—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.4K—Under $10—
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SV 07 Elversberg
SV 07 Elversberg $2.3K—BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $9—
Watford FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.0K—Over $22—
Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus 1. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05 $1.6K—FC Bayern München $292—
Will FC Halifax Town win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $2—
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $875—Yes $55—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $391—Magda Linette $383—
Will Accrington Stanley FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $747—Yes $3—
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg $707—RB Leipzig $4—
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $553—Yes $79—
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $234—No $261—
Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $325—Over $143—
Will Wycombe Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $304—No $129—
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nottingham Forest FC
Nottingham Forest FC $251—Manchester City FC $80—
Will Hornchurch FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $134—No $174—
Taranto: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Kilian Feldbausch
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Carlo Alberto Caniato $210—Kilian Feldbausch $38—
Spread: Burton Albion FC (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus AFC Rushden & Diamonds
AFC Rushden & Diamonds $130—Burton Albion FC $41—
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus ES Troyes AC
ES Troyes AC $141—Paris Saint-Germain FC $29—
Will Club Always Ready vs. Club ABB end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $111—Yes $15—
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $47—Under $76—
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07 $85—Eintracht Frankfurt $18—
CA Rosario Central leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $73—Yes $14—
Will Stevenage FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $81—
KVC Westerlo vs. Royal Charleroi SC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $3—No $80—
Exact Score: CD Castellón 0 - 0 SD Eibar?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $61—Yes $20—
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sporting CP
Sporting CP $66—Moreirense FC $11—
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $67—No $10—
Will MŠK Žilina win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17—No $55—
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
Thiago Seyboth Wild $28—Facundo Acosta $3—
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $8—
Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $4—
Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
Jerome Kym $1.7K—Jerome Kym $11K—
Chennai Open: Janice Tjen vs Robin Montgomery
same side · consensus Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen $4.4K—Janice Tjen $7.8K—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $11K—Under $151—
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2K—No $7.5K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.0K—Yes $19—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.2K—No $19—
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.5K—No $1.3K—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $3.3K—No $1.6K—
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.7K—No $69—
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.4K—No $282—
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.4K—No $1.3K—
Will Blackpool FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.1K—No $2.3K—
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $1.9K—No $1.5K—
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $2.3K—No $22—