Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova

11 of 20 top Polymarket traders hold Anastasia Zakharova (55%) · Anastasia Zakharova at 53¢ · $36K held · ends Nov 14

Magda Linette48¢Anastasia Zakharova52¢Ends Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Anastasia Zakharova

Consensus Traders

Anastasia Zakharova 55%

8 arb excluded

Total Value

$36.0K

Combined PnL

$2.0K

Smart Money Entry

56¢ → 52.5¢

-6% since entry · 11 traders

Research grade

NeutralAnastasia Zakharova at 53%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Anastasia Zakharova

11 of 20 top traders (55%)8 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Magda Linette48%

Anastasia Zakharova53%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Anastasia Zakharova11 traders

Total Value$13.5K

Total Shares25,650

Combined PnL-$880.61

Magda Linette9 traders

Total Value$11.7K

Total Shares22,368

Combined PnL+$2.9K

Anastasia Zakharova — 55%Magda Linette — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
KK Kkunn	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 56.2¢	$11.5K	$10.7K	-$761.81	42% 254-346 (600)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Magda Linetteavg 25.3¢	$4.0K	$6.5K	+$2.5K	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 61.8¢	$3.8K	$3.8K	+$12.85	51% 5014-4884 (9898)
└ Magda Linette leg	Magda Linetteavg 39.9¢	$1.7K	$2.0K	+$327.24
└ Anastasia Zakharova leg	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 61.8¢	$2.1K	$1.8K	-$314.39
RN1CTR	Magda Linetteavg 45¢	$3.5K	$3.7K	+$195.26	53% 63014-55227 (118241)
0xheavy888ARB<$100	Magda Linetteavg 45.4¢	$3.0K	$3.1K	+$98.15	56% 8260-6557 (14817)
└ Magda Linette leg	Magda Linetteavg 45.4¢	$2.3K	$2.4K	+$105
└ Anastasia Zakharova leg	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 53¢	$726.22	$719.37	-$6.85
PL pltrkr111	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 54¢	$2.0K	$1.9K	-$55.56	55% 790-658 (1448)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR	Magda Linetteavg 47¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	+$11.25	51% 2062-2000 (4062)
NM NM-PARB<$100	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 54¢	$1.0K	$1.0K	+$0	64% 10183-5729 (15912)
└ Anastasia Zakharova leg	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 54¢	$540	$525	-$15
└ Magda Linette leg	Magda Linetteavg 46¢	$460	$475	+$15
GC GC-PARB<$100	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 54¢	$1,000	$1,000	+$0	64% 10184-5783 (15967)
└ Anastasia Zakharova leg	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 54¢	$540	$525	-$15
└ Magda Linette leg	Magda Linetteavg 46¢	$460	$475	+$15
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 74.2¢	$847.34	$876.5	+$29.16	53% 14954-13478 (28432)
└ Magda Linette leg	Magda Linetteavg 28¢	$280	$475	+$195
└ Anastasia Zakharova leg	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 74.2¢	$567.34	$401.5	-$165.84
FL Flaznorp	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 53¢	$477.56	$478.21	+$0.65	51% 27272-25818 (53090)
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 78.9¢	$529.98	$445.54	+$15.57	53% 828-732 (1560)
└ Magda Linette leg	Magda Linetteavg 29¢	$166.19	$272.4	+$102.72
└ Anastasia Zakharova leg	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 78.9¢	$260.29	$173.14	-$87.15
MA MadridTimeCTR	Magda Linetteavg 23.1¢	$153.71	$311.85	+$158.14	48% 1776-1912 (3688)
38 38791873984189ARB<$100	Magda Linetteavg 29.7¢	$600.38	$309.3	+$154.29	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
└ Magda Linette leg	Magda Linetteavg 29.7¢	$127.6	$203.77	+$76.17
└ Anastasia Zakharova leg	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 53.6¢	$107.74	$105.52	+$78.12
EU EulhunterARB<$100	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 54¢	$208.74	$263.5	+$54.76	54% 6333-5398 (11731)
└ Magda Linette leg	Magda Linetteavg 30.4¢	$102.36	$160.08	+$57.71
└ Anastasia Zakharova leg	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 54¢	$106.38	$103.43	-$2.95
LI LightParadox	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 65¢	$276.25	$223.13	-$53.13	49% 1800-1902 (3702)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100	Magda Linetteavg 26.7¢	$45.5	$80.95	+$35.46	64% 5377-2997 (8374)
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100	Magda Linetteavg 44¢	$74.69	$80.63	+$5.94	49% 15008-15929 (30937)
VeryLucky888	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 54¢	$437.73	$39.61	-$2.9	58% 47904-34520 (82424)
PA pauleta23<$100	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 77¢	$38.4	$26.17	-$12.23	65% 24597-12971 (37568)
PA Pan9X<$100	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 52.9¢	$23	$17.88	+$0.38	54% 10485-8797 (19282)
TH thestingsnake<$100	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 42.5¢	$12.83	$15.86	+$3.02	60% 4530-3029 (7559)
machinelearnedCTR<$100	Magda Linetteavg 33¢	$6.6	$9.5	+$2.9	55% 9938-8254 (18192)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Anastasia Zakharovaavg 26¢	$2.86	$5.78	+$2.92	50% 21821-22062 (43883)
nigiri99CTR<$100	Magda Linetteavg 50.2¢	$5.53	$5.17	-$0.36	46% 8770-10463 (19233)

Kkunn

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$11,485.81

Value

$10.7K

PnL

-$761.81

Record

42%

254-346 (600)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

Magda Linette

Invested

$4,005.06

Value

$6.5K

PnL

+$2.5K

Record

42%

8192-11384 (19576)

6512395314597884ARB<$100

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$3,803.07

Value

$3.8K

PnL

+$12.85

Record

51%

5014-4884 (9898)

Both legs:

Magda Linette$1,710.3639.9¢+$327.24

Anastasia Zakharova$2,092.7161.8¢-$314.39

RN1CTR

Magda Linette

Invested

$3,514.66

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$195.26

Record

53%

63014-55227 (118241)

0xheavy888ARB<$100

Magda Linette

Invested

$2,996.22

Value

$3.1K

PnL

+$98.15

Record

56%

8260-6557 (14817)

Both legs:

Magda Linette$2,27045.4¢+$105

Anastasia Zakharova$726.2253¢-$6.85

pltrkr111

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$1,999.99

Value

$1.9K

PnL

-$55.56

Record

55%

790-658 (1448)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR

Magda Linette

Invested

$1,057.5

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$11.25

Record

51%

2062-2000 (4062)

NM-PARB<$100

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$1,000

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$0

Record

64%

10183-5729 (15912)

Both legs:

Anastasia Zakharova$54054¢-$15

Magda Linette$46046¢+$15

GC-PARB<$100

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$1,000

Value

$1,000

PnL

+$0

Record

64%

10184-5783 (15967)

Both legs:

Anastasia Zakharova$54054¢-$15

Magda Linette$46046¢+$15

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$847.34

Value

$876.5

PnL

+$29.16

Record

53%

14954-13478 (28432)

Both legs:

Magda Linette$28028¢+$195

Anastasia Zakharova$567.3474.2¢-$165.84

Flaznorp

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$477.56

Value

$478.21

PnL

+$0.65

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

1lovejumpARB<$100

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$529.98

Value

$445.54

PnL

+$15.57

Record

53%

828-732 (1560)

Both legs:

Magda Linette$166.1929¢+$102.72

Anastasia Zakharova$260.2978.9¢-$87.15

MadridTimeCTR

Magda Linette

Invested

$153.71

Value

$311.85

PnL

+$158.14

Record

48%

1776-1912 (3688)

38791873984189ARB<$100

Magda Linette

Invested

$600.38

Value

$309.3

PnL

+$154.29

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

Both legs:

Magda Linette$127.629.7¢+$76.17

Anastasia Zakharova$107.7453.6¢+$78.12

EulhunterARB<$100

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$208.74

Value

$263.5

PnL

+$54.76

Record

54%

6333-5398 (11731)

Both legs:

Magda Linette$102.3630.4¢+$57.71

Anastasia Zakharova$106.3854¢-$2.95

LightParadox

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$276.25

Value

$223.13

PnL

-$53.13

Record

49%

1800-1902 (3702)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100

Magda Linette

Invested

$45.5

Value

$80.95

PnL

+$35.46

Record

64%

5377-2997 (8374)

LuckyLooCTR<$100

Magda Linette

Invested

$74.69

Value

$80.63

PnL

+$5.94

Record

49%

15008-15929 (30937)

VeryLucky888

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$437.73

Value

$39.61

PnL

-$2.9

Record

58%

47904-34520 (82424)

pauleta23<$100

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$38.4

Value

$26.17

PnL

-$12.23

Record

65%

24597-12971 (37568)

Pan9X<$100

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$23

Value

$17.88

PnL

+$0.38

Record

54%

10485-8797 (19282)

thestingsnake<$100

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$12.83

Value

$15.86

PnL

+$3.02

Record

60%

4530-3029 (7559)

machinelearnedCTR<$100

Magda Linette

Invested

$6.6

Value

$9.5

PnL

+$2.9

Record

55%

9938-8254 (18192)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Anastasia Zakharova

Invested

$2.86

Value

$5.78

PnL

+$2.92

Record

50%

21821-22062 (43883)

nigiri99CTR<$100

Magda Linette

Invested

$5.53

Value

$5.17

PnL

-$0.36

Record

46%

8770-10463 (19233)

Research grade

NeutralAnastasia Zakharova at 53%

Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.
Side priced 50–60¢Full year, out of sample: 0.50–0.70 lost −2.9 % a trade (n 23,546, 95 % CI −3.9 to −1.9).

Smart Money Signal

Anastasia Zakharova

11 of 20 top traders (55%)8 arbitrage traders dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Anastasia Zakharova wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance54.7%

52.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$82.67

Max Loss

-$100.00

182.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.