Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Matej Dodig

14 of 21 top Polymarket traders hold Jerome Kym (67%) · Jerome Kym at 60¢ · $33K held · ends Nov 14

Jerome Kym60¢Matej Dodig40¢Ends Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Jerome Kym

Consensus Traders

Jerome Kym 67%

Total Value

$32.7K

Combined PnL

-$458.67

Smart Money Entry

90.4¢ → 60¢

-34% since entry · 14 traders

Research grade

NeutralJerome Kym at 60%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Jerome Kym

14 of 21 top traders (67%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Jerome Kym60%

Matej Dodig40%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Matej Dodig7 traders

Total Value$11.6K

Total Shares29,074

Combined PnL+$8.8K

Jerome Kym14 traders

Total Value$21.1K

Total Shares32,435

Combined PnL$-9.3K

Matej Dodig — 33%Jerome Kym — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Matej Dodigavg 6.4¢	$1.6K	$10.0K	+$8.4K	42% 8168-11360 (19528)
MA MadridTime	Jerome Kymavg 96.2¢	$10.5K	$6.6K	$-3.9K	48% 1775-1911 (3686)
LI Limousin	Jerome Kymavg 96.7¢	$9.9K	$6.1K	$-3.8K	50% 1850-1863 (3713)
65 6512395314597884	Jerome Kymavg 60¢	$2.1K	$2.2K	+$79.26	51% 5012-4882 (9894)
TG tghj20	Jerome Kymavg 65.2¢	$1.9K	$1.8K	-$152.95	45% 83-102 (185)
EU Eulhunter	Jerome Kymavg 93.8¢	$1.7K	$1.1K	-$619.33	54% 6325-5389 (11714)
MR MrBentlyCTR	Matej Dodigavg 36.2¢	$960.02	$1.1K	+$100.61	52% 614-558 (1172)
LI LightParadox	Jerome Kymavg 91.1¢	$1.5K	$988.54	-$501.88	49% 1800-1900 (3700)
PA Paul973973	Jerome Kymavg 98.7¢	$1.3K	$790.74	-$510.14	89% 1069-137 (1206)
1L 1lovejump	Jerome Kymavg 76.7¢	$382.59	$613.5	+$439.6	53% 827-732 (1559)
VE Venusian	Jerome Kymavg 96.9¢	$783.64	$585.63	-$198.01	49% 1843-1935 (3778)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR	Matej Dodigavg 15.6¢	$175.01	$447.68	+$272.67	46% 1791-2100 (3891)
RN1	Jerome Kymavg 96.3¢	$294.58	$184.09	-$110.49	53% 62321-54560 (116881)
VeryLucky888CTR	Matej Dodigavg 35¢	$202.16	$63.56	+$12.13	58% 47503-34297 (81800)
0xheavy888<$100	Jerome Kymavg 64¢	$44.61	$41.82	-$2.79	56% 8223-6528 (14751)
BI BillBenter2026<$100	Jerome Kymavg 78.5¢	$47.1	$36	-$11.1	57% 19424-14373 (33797)
machinelearned<$100	Jerome Kymavg 72¢	$28.8	$24	-$4.8	55% 9930-8242 (18172)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	Jerome Kymavg 63.5¢	$25.8	$15	+$4.2	64% 5376-2995 (8371)
TH thestingsnakeCTR<$100	Matej Dodigavg 32.4¢	$50.36	$8.2	+$3.65	60% 4506-3007 (7513)
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100	Matej Dodigavg 35¢	$5.38	$6.15	+$0.77	51% 27227-25781 (53008)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	Matej Dodigavg 35¢	$1.75	$2	+$0.25	50% 26409-26025 (52434)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

Matej Dodig

Invested

$1,617.89

Value

$10.0K

PnL

+$8.4K

Record

42%

8168-11360 (19528)

MadridTime

Jerome Kym

Invested

$10,531.71

Value

$6.6K

PnL

$-3.9K

Record

48%

1775-1911 (3686)

Limousin

Jerome Kym

Invested

$9,909.95

Value

$6.1K

PnL

$-3.8K

Record

50%

1850-1863 (3713)

6512395314597884

Jerome Kym

Invested

$2,094.67

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$79.26

Record

51%

5012-4882 (9894)

tghj20

Jerome Kym

Invested

$1,934.2

Value

$1.8K

PnL

-$152.95

Record

45%

83-102 (185)

Eulhunter

Jerome Kym

Invested

$1,718.53

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$619.33

Record

54%

6325-5389 (11714)

MrBentlyCTR

Matej Dodig

Invested

$960.02

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$100.61

Record

52%

614-558 (1172)

LightParadox

Jerome Kym

Invested

$1,490.42

Value

$988.54

PnL

-$501.88

Record

49%

1800-1900 (3700)

Paul973973

Jerome Kym

Invested

$1,300.88

Value

$790.74

PnL

-$510.14

Record

89%

1069-137 (1206)

1lovejump

Jerome Kym

Invested

$382.59

Value

$613.5

PnL

+$439.6

Record

53%

827-732 (1559)

Venusian

Jerome Kym

Invested

$783.64

Value

$585.63

PnL

-$198.01

Record

49%

1843-1935 (3778)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR

Matej Dodig

Invested

$175.01

Value

$447.68

PnL

+$272.67

Record

46%

1791-2100 (3891)

RN1

Jerome Kym

Invested

$294.58

Value

$184.09

PnL

-$110.49

Record

53%

62321-54560 (116881)

VeryLucky888CTR

Matej Dodig

Invested

$202.16

Value

$63.56

PnL

+$12.13

Record

58%

47503-34297 (81800)

0xheavy888<$100

Jerome Kym

Invested

$44.61

Value

$41.82

PnL

-$2.79

Record

56%

8223-6528 (14751)

BillBenter2026<$100

Jerome Kym

Invested

$47.1

Value

$36

PnL

-$11.1

Record

57%

19424-14373 (33797)

machinelearned<$100

Jerome Kym

Invested

$28.8

Value

$24

PnL

-$4.8

Record

55%

9930-8242 (18172)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

Jerome Kym

Invested

$25.8

Value

$15

PnL

+$4.2

Record

64%

5376-2995 (8371)

thestingsnakeCTR<$100

Matej Dodig

Invested

$50.36

Value

$8.2

PnL

+$3.65

Record

60%

4506-3007 (7513)

FlaznorpCTR<$100

Matej Dodig

Invested

$5.38

Value

$6.15

PnL

+$0.77

Record

51%

27227-25781 (53008)

sentrioCTR<$100

Matej Dodig

Invested

$1.75

Value

PnL

+$0.25

Record

50%

26409-26025 (52434)

Research grade

NeutralJerome Kym at 60%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Jerome Kym

14 of 21 top traders (67%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Jerome Kym wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance62.2%

60.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$60.80

Max Loss

-$100.00

160.8

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.