PolyConsensus

MLB: what top Polymarket traders hold

MLB games and futures. These are the MLB markets on Polymarket in which at least five of the top traders we track hold a position, with the side most of them hold (the consensus), what share of them hold it and the market's own price for that side.

A consensus is a head count of who holds what, not a probability, and following it did not pay on average in our backtests — see how it works.

Live consensus markets
14
Recently settled, consensus right
10 of 12
Prices as of
Oct 25, 07:19 UTC

Live MLB consensus markets (14)

Top traders in MLB

Tracked traders with 10 or more settled MLB consensus markets whose side won more often than its entry price implied, ranked by how much (on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short lucky run does not rank first). These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero.

  1. 1.stochi+59 ptsside won 100% of 792 · avg entry 41¢ · ROI +58%
  2. 2.hedgevaultmainnet1+51 ptsside won 100% of 614 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI +50%
  3. 3.0xAbF543512f33E2D754ada028a689610139Cccfeb-1760974401494+51 ptsside won 100% of 284 · avg entry 49¢ · ROI +50%
  4. 4.neymar1+57 ptsside won 100% of 43 · avg entry 43¢ · ROI +49%
  5. 5.0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025+50 ptsside won 100% of 554 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +50%
  6. 6.RLWG+55 ptsside won 91% of 104 · avg entry 36¢ · ROI +10%
  7. 7.Nooserac+49 ptsside won 100% of 407 · avg entry 51¢ · ROI +46%
  8. 8.0x14cA946e75D59b8B7EbE21110512f7b885d78F43-1769608890569+50 ptsside won 100% of 135 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +52%
  9. 9.forsenxd+50 ptsside won 100% of 140 · avg entry 50¢ · ROI +48%
  10. 10.timetowander+53 ptsside won 100% of 62 · avg entry 47¢ · ROI +56%

Recently settled MLB markets

What the tracked traders held when each market settled, and how it came out. A handful of markets says little about the next one.

Holders update as the tracked traders trade, and prices refresh about once a minute. Only wallets with a position of at least 1 share count as holders; the side is the one with the most money behind it among holders with $100 or more in the market. PolyConsensus is not affiliated with Polymarket and this is not investment advice. More: all topics, the trader leaderboard, large trades.