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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | NM-P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (583–722, n=1305) | 52% (6543–6108, n=12651) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 82% (5498–1217, n=6715) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.3M | $3.7M | $4.8M | $52K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #507 |
| Sides with the consensus | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 69% (174 of 252 open) | 73% (59 of 81 open) | 65% (100 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 4135 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 6% (won 100% of 257) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 206) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 21% (won 100% of 860) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 204) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 21% (won 100% of 888) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 52% (won 100% of 2130) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
36 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | NM-P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | Yes $231 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $541 | — | No $2.6K |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $328 | — | Yes $2.0K |
| Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | — | No $1.3K |
| Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $147 | — | No $1.1K |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $614 | — | No $185 |
| Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame opposite sides · consensus Notre Dame | — | Miami (FL) $416 | — | Notre Dame $358 |
| Cardinals vs. Seahawks opposite sides · consensus Seahawks | — | Cardinals $163 | — | Seahawks $474 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $225 | — | Yes $305 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $259 | — | Yes $263 |
| Broncos vs. Panthers opposite sides · consensus Panthers | — | Broncos $300 | — | Panthers $219 |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $425 |
| Rams vs. Commanders opposite sides · consensus Rams | — | Commanders $218 | — | Rams $155 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $246 | — | Yes $66 |
| Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $66 | — | No $192 |
| Fresno State vs. Utah State opposite sides · consensus Fresno State | — | Utah State $4 | — | Fresno State $249 |
| Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $168 | — | Yes $81 |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3 | — | No $233 |
| Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-11-07? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $70 | — | No $75 |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ES Troyes AC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2 | — | Yes $76 |
| Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $4 | — | Yes $62 |
| Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2 | — | Over $6 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $407K | — | No $335K | — |
| Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $3 | Under $30K | — |
| Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $20K | — | No $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Under $1.2K |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.8K | — | No $769 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $2.3K |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.8K | — | No $1.6K |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.3K | — | No $1.1K |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $2.9K | — | No $407 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.4K | — | No $802 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $489 | — | No $1.4K |
| Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | No $185 |
| Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.6K | — | No $23 |
| Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $972 | — | No $616 |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $231 | — | No $1.3K |
| Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $1.4K | — | No $162 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $1.3K | — | No $84 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | No $263 |
| Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | — | Yes $88 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $538 | — | No $542 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $875 | — | No $200 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $614 | — | No $256 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $734 | — | No $133 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $732 | — | No $72 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $538 | — | No $216 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $679 | — | No $1 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $317 | — | No $319 |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08? same side · consensus No | — | No $539 | — | No $29 |