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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677MadridTime
Record (consensus markets)45% (583–722, n=1305)52% (6555–6124, n=12679)45% (10–12, n=22)46% (1268–1497, n=2765)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.7M$5.3M-$6.8K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #13PM monthly #2PM monthly #589
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)71% (260 of 365 open)no open consensus position51% (74 of 144 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=100, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 586 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 792 at avg 71¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)7% (won 100% of 58)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 206)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 100% of 158)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 204)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)15% (won 100% of 120)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)58% (won 100% of 456)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

58 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677MadridTime
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.3K—Yes $163
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.2K—No $48
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.3K—No $581
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.1K—No $43
Will FC Halifax Town win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $2
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Borna Gojo
opposite sides · consensus Borna Gojo
—Mika Brunold $856—Borna Gojo $229
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $875—Yes $34
Will Club Always Ready win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $634—No $54
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $545—Yes $81
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $234—No $261
Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $325—Over $143
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $294—No $57
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nottingham Forest FC
—Nottingham Forest FC $251—Manchester City FC $80
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $231—Yes $43
Spread: Burton Albion FC (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus AFC Rushden & Diamonds
—AFC Rushden & Diamonds $130—Burton Albion FC $41
Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $165—No $5
Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $154—Yes $13
Exact Score: FCI Levadia Tallinn 0 - 1 Nomme Kalju FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4—No $148
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $132—Over $3
Will Club Always Ready vs. Club ABB end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $114—Yes $15
CA Rosario Central leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $73—Yes $14
Exact Score: CD Castellón 0 - 0 SD Eibar?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $61—Yes $20
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $66—No $10
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sporting CP
—Sporting CP $65—Moreirense FC $10
Will Torino FC vs. US Lecce end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4—Yes $51
W15 Szabolcsveresmart: Melinda Biro vs Emese Serkedi
opposite sides · consensus Emese Serkedi
—Melinda Biro $30—Emese Serkedi $4
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild
—Thiago Seyboth Wild $27—Facundo Acosta $3
IFK Varnamo vs. IFK Norrkoping FK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $6—No $18
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $8
Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $4
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
—Anna Blinkova $20K—Anna Blinkova $2.5K
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $7.3K
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.4K—No $458
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $5.7K—No $26
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $3.6K—No $1.3K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3K—No $1.6K
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $4.4K—No $282
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $2.1K—No $2.5K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $3.4K—No $1.1K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $3.7K—Under $41
Will FK Chornomorets Odesa win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.7K—No $955
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.2K—No $86
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Arsenal FC
—Hull City AFC $2.5K—Hull City AFC $782
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $216
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.4K—No $6
Western Kentucky vs. Middle Tennessee
same side · consensus Middle Tennessee
—Middle Tennessee $1.2K—Middle Tennessee $261
Will Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $21
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $84
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $578—Under $540
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $707—No $268