Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Yasmine Kabbaj

18 of 24 top Polymarket traders hold Anna Blinkova (75%) · Anna Blinkova at 76¢ · $46K held · ends Nov 13

Anna Blinkova76¢Yasmine Kabbaj24¢Ends Fri, Nov 13, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Anna Blinkova

Consensus Traders

Anna Blinkova 75%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$46.4K

Combined PnL

$-2.3K

Smart Money Entry

90.3¢ → 76.3¢

-16% since entry · 18 traders

Research grade

NeutralAnna Blinkova at 76%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Anna Blinkova

18 of 24 top traders (75%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Anna Blinkova76%

Yasmine Kabbaj24%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Anna Blinkova18 traders

Total Value$36.1K

Total Shares43,874

Combined PnL$-4.6K

Yasmine Kabbaj6 traders

Total Value$3.3K

Total Shares14,539

Combined PnL+$2.2K

Anna Blinkova — 75%Yasmine Kabbaj — 25%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+2 pts consensus

Breadth

14 traders

Top 2 hold 80%

Freshness

Mature

18h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

78% of non-arb traders are on Anna Blinkova. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 80% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleAnna Blinkova 67% · 3

Aligned

sharpAnna Blinkova 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrAnna Blinkova 73% · 11

Aligned

Hand-pickedAnna Blinkova 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Anna Blinkova 76% · 17

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Anna Blinkovaavg 89.1¢	$16.2K	$14.5K	$-1.7K	51% 27051-25620 (52671)
LI LightParadox	Anna Blinkovaavg 94.1¢	$8.9K	$7.5K	$-1.4K	49% 1777-1875 (3652)
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 91.5¢	$4.1K	$5.8K	+$2.1K	51% 5010-4880 (9890)
└ Yasmine Kabbaj leg	Yasmine Kabbajavg 6.5¢	$895.39	$3.2K	+$2.6K
└ Anna Blinkova leg	Anna Blinkovaavg 91.5¢	$3.1K	$2.6K	-$501.43
VE Venusian	Anna Blinkovaavg 95.7¢	$4.7K	$4.0K	-$689.04	49% 1821-1900 (3721)
RN1	Anna Blinkovaavg 77.8¢	$3.6K	$3.7K	+$114.35	53% 62287-54524 (116811)
LI Limousin	Anna Blinkovaavg 93.4¢	$2.7K	$2.3K	-$357.47	50% 1834-1824 (3658)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Yasmine Kabbajavg 5.8¢	$564.07	$2.2K	+$1.7K	42% 8163-11357 (19520)
MA MadridTime	Anna Blinkovaavg 95.6¢	$1.7K	$1.4K	-$321.71	48% 1756-1884 (3640)
TH thestingsnake	Anna Blinkovaavg 90.8¢	$1.4K	$1.1K	-$205.54	60% 4504-3005 (7509)
CI cigarettesCTR	Yasmine Kabbajavg 10.3¢	$474.93	$1.0K	+$545.53	53% 24327-21391 (45718)
38 38791873984189ARB<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 86.2¢	$917.53	$849.97	+$202.68	48% 62379-67237 (129616)
└ Anna Blinkova leg	Anna Blinkovaavg 86.2¢	$612.44	$548.42	-$125.12
└ Yasmine Kabbaj leg	Yasmine Kabbajavg 5.7¢	$75.17	$301.55	+$327.8
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	Anna Blinkovaavg 92¢	$552	$540	-$12	51% 2056-1990 (4046)
VeryLucky888	Anna Blinkovaavg 88¢	$380.3	$392	+$11.7	58% 47475-34259 (81734)
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 91.9¢	$884.76	$356.08	+$46.7	53% 826-731 (1557)
└ Anna Blinkova leg	Anna Blinkovaavg 91.9¢	$313.71	$265.61	-$43.66
└ Yasmine Kabbaj leg	Yasmine Kabbajavg 9.9¢	$40.56	$90.47	+$90.35
EU Eulhunter	Anna Blinkovaavg 91¢	$249.25	$257.1	+$2.21	54% 6321-5389 (11710)
0xheavy888	Anna Blinkovaavg 89¢	$176.1	$178.07	+$1.98	56% 8215-6521 (14736)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 91¢	$44.44	$43.99	+$0.94	52% 14647-13309 (27956)
PA Pan9X<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 88¢	$31.44	$32.46	+$1.09	54% 10438-8758 (19196)
dips.<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 94.4¢	$28.33	$27	-$0.5	47% 11000-12618 (23618)
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 96.3¢	$19.39	$17.87	-$1.52	50% 21534-21823 (43357)
SE sentrioCTR<$100	Yasmine Kabbajavg 4.1¢	$3.64	$15.52	+$11.89	50% 26383-26006 (52389)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 90¢	$42.6	$11.27	-$1.33	64% 5375-2993 (8368)
machinelearned<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 90¢	$9	$9.3	+$0.3	55% 9912-8220 (18132)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Anna Blinkovaavg 88.5¢	$8.85	$9	+$0.45	52% 9006-8159 (17165)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Yasmine Kabbajavg 23.6¢	$7.07	$6.72	-$0.35	59% 33210-23381 (56591)

Flaznorp

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$16,205.98

Value

$14.5K

PnL

$-1.7K

Record

51%

27051-25620 (52671)

LightParadox

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$8,893.05

Value

$7.5K

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

49%

1777-1875 (3652)

6512395314597884ARB<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$4,120.44

Value

$5.8K

PnL

+$2.1K

Record

51%

5010-4880 (9890)

Both legs:

Yasmine Kabbaj$895.396.5¢+$2.6K

Anna Blinkova$3,094.6391.5¢-$501.43

Venusian

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$4,673.25

Value

$4.0K

PnL

-$689.04

Record

49%

1821-1900 (3721)

RN1

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$3,573.37

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$114.35

Record

53%

62287-54524 (116811)

Limousin

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$2,689.14

Value

$2.3K

PnL

-$357.47

Record

50%

1834-1824 (3658)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$564.07

Value

$2.2K

PnL

+$1.7K

Record

42%

8163-11357 (19520)

MadridTime

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$1,714.79

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$321.71

Record

48%

1756-1884 (3640)

thestingsnake

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$1,368.94

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$205.54

Record

60%

4504-3005 (7509)

cigarettesCTR

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$474.93

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$545.53

Record

53%

24327-21391 (45718)

38791873984189ARB<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$917.53

Value

$849.97

PnL

+$202.68

Record

48%

62379-67237 (129616)

Both legs:

Anna Blinkova$612.4486.2¢-$125.12

Yasmine Kabbaj$75.175.7¢+$327.8

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$552

Value

$540

PnL

-$12

Record

51%

2056-1990 (4046)

VeryLucky888

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$380.3

Value

$392

PnL

+$11.7

Record

58%

47475-34259 (81734)

1lovejumpARB<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$884.76

Value

$356.08

PnL

+$46.7

Record

53%

826-731 (1557)

Both legs:

Anna Blinkova$313.7191.9¢-$43.66

Yasmine Kabbaj$40.569.9¢+$90.35

Eulhunter

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$249.25

Value

$257.1

PnL

+$2.21

Record

54%

6321-5389 (11710)

0xheavy888

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$176.1

Value

$178.07

PnL

+$1.98

Record

56%

8215-6521 (14736)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$44.44

Value

$43.99

PnL

+$0.94

Record

52%

14647-13309 (27956)

Pan9X<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$31.44

Value

$32.46

PnL

+$1.09

Record

54%

10438-8758 (19196)

dips.<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$28.33

Value

$27

PnL

-$0.5

Record

47%

11000-12618 (23618)

omnibus-076daa<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$19.39

Value

$17.87

PnL

-$1.52

Record

50%

21534-21823 (43357)

sentrioCTR<$100

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$3.64

Value

$15.52

PnL

+$11.89

Record

50%

26383-26006 (52389)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$42.6

Value

$11.27

PnL

-$1.33

Record

64%

5375-2993 (8368)

machinelearned<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

Value

$9.3

PnL

+$0.3

Record

55%

9912-8220 (18132)

ameisgoat11<$100

Anna Blinkova

Invested

$8.85

Value

PnL

+$0.45

Record

52%

9006-8159 (17165)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Yasmine Kabbaj

Invested

$7.07

Value

$6.72

PnL

-$0.35

Record

59%

33210-23381 (56591)

Research grade

NeutralAnna Blinkova at 76%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Anna Blinkova

18 of 24 top traders (75%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Surging

+2 pts consensus

Breadth

14 traders

Top 2 hold 80%

Freshness

Mature

18h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

78% of non-arb traders are on Anna Blinkova. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 80% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleAnna Blinkova 67% · 3

Aligned

sharpAnna Blinkova 100% · 2

Aligned

ctrAnna Blinkova 73% · 11

Aligned

Hand-pickedAnna Blinkova 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Anna Blinkova 76% · 17

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Anna Blinkova wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance78.1%

76.3¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$27.99

Max Loss

-$100.00

128.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.