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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x99F6D49711a91C4DBd9e28c48a3508FAE92F37fc-1760627151725FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2619–1078, n=3697)48% (600–648, n=1248)81% (22–5, n=27)
Consensus PnL$0$482K$512K$328K
Tracked asPM monthly #796PM monthly #11PM monthly #18PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (130 of 226 open)51% (52 of 101 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
Weakest topic—College Basketball −4 pts, n=174——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 5% of 409)6% (won 100% of 20)4% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 41% of 222)36% (won 100% of 128)13% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 115)50% (won 100% of 175)21% (won 80% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 94% of 271)8% (won 100% of 28)63% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x99F6D49711a91C4DBd9e28c48a3508FAE92F37fc-1760627151725FlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighMD14
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 257.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $302—Under $53K
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $2.7KGrizzlies $33K—
Sabres vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
—Sabres $206Stars $9.3K—
UFC 334: Luis Gurule vs. Bilal Hasan (Flyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Luis Gurule
—Luis Gurule $383Bilal Hasan $7.9K—
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
—Bulls $3.9KTimberwolves $3.1K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $701Nets $6.0K—
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Heat $434Pistons $5.2K—
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $398Nets $3.4K—
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Arkansas $1.1KSouth Carolina $2.6K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KUnder $718—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.3KUnder $41—
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $549Mavericks $781—
Spread: Grizzlies (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $412Nets $847—
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $828Timberwolves $11—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 245.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $268Under $402—
UC Davis Aggies vs. Sacramento State Hornets: O/U 160.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2Over $308—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $54Nets $247—
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Timberwolves $176Bulls $12—
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Mavericks $28Cavaliers $143—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $132Over $7—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Grizzlies $75Nets $51—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5Under $3—
Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)
same side · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $911Bulls $63K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $4.0KOver $26K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $502Over $24K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
—Arizona $23Arizona $21K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.0KOver $12K—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KOver $8.7K—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KOver $7.3K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $689Heat $7.8K—
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $5.8KCavaliers $106—
WTA Finals, Final Stage (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Errani/Paolini
same side · consensus Errani/Paolini
—Errani/Paolini $2.2KErrani/Paolini $151—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7KOver $185—
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $1.0KGrizzlies $291—
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 235.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $887Over $5—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $750Over $2—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $393Heat $9—
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
—Melbourne Renegades $227Melbourne Renegades $39—
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $239Under $11—
Spread: Grizzlies (-10.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
—Nets $209Nets $29—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $187Under $5—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $79Under $9—
Baylor vs. BYU
same side · consensus BYU
—Baylor $17Baylor $43—