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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188etthhhhkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)100% (1–0, n=1)48% (617–662, n=1279)53% (472–417, n=889)
Consensus PnL$856K$15K$549K$399K
Tracked asPM monthly #24was PM monthly #779PM monthly #18PM monthly #129
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position59% (57 of 96 open)51% (65 of 128 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%—100% of 351 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢0%—6% (won 100% of 20)13% (won 40% of 81)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)—36% (won 100% of 128)24% (won 62% of 144)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)—50% (won 100% of 175)43% (won 74% of 261)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—8% (won 100% of 28)20% (won 98% of 119)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188etthhhhkeeptheblueflagflyinghighnigiri99
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $3.4K—Grizzlies $38KGrizzlies $76K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Pistons $19K—Heat $9.1KHeat $14K
Pistons vs. Heat
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $10KHeat $18K
UFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Kayla Harrison
——Kayla Harrison $9.4KAmanda Nunes $5.0K
Spread: Utah (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arizona
——Utah $11KArizona $2.1K
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $11KDucks $573
Flames vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $4.2K——Flames $5.9K
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Pistons $1Heat $7.5K
Spread: Virginia Tech (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
——Virginia Tech $3.1KStanford $4.3K
Spread: Wyoming (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wyoming
——Wyoming $100UTEP $7.0K
Spread: New Mexico (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus New Mexico
——New Mexico $5.5KUNLV $224
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
——Pistons $3.2KHeat $1.3K
Spread: Louisville (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
——Louisville $62North Carolina $4.2K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
——South Carolina $1.7KArkansas $1.8K
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Timberwolves
——Timberwolves $409Bulls $1.8K
Purdue vs. Iowa
opposite sides · consensus Iowa
——Purdue $2Iowa $1.9K
Islanders vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Islanders
——Islanders $291Ducks $1.3K
Louisville vs. North Carolina
opposite sides · consensus Louisville
——Louisville $214North Carolina $79
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texas
——LSU $30Texas $145
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
——Timberwolves $11Bulls $137
Sabres vs. Stars
same side · consensus Stars
——Stars $13KStars $137K
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Utah
——Utah $25KUtah $17K
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Kevin Holland
——Kevin Holland $30KKevin Holland $10K
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Grizzlies $348Grizzlies $36K
Baylor vs. BYU: O/U 49.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $16KUnder $5.6K
Louisville vs. North Carolina: O/U 57.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $20KOver $803
Spread: Air Force (-14.5)
same side · consensus San Jose State
——San Jose State $17KSan Jose State $552
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $17KOver $614
Spread: LSU (-4.5)
same side · consensus LSU
——Texas $16KTexas $134
Spread: New Mexico (-17.5)
same side · consensus New Mexico
——New Mexico $13KNew Mexico $162
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
same side · consensus Nets
——Nets $4.7KNets $6.6K
Spread: South Carolina (-7.5)
same side · consensus Arkansas
——Arkansas $7.3KArkansas $2.5K
North Texas vs. UTSA
same side · consensus North Texas
——North Texas $8.5KNorth Texas $1.2K
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $6.1KOver $1.5K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
——Texas Tech $865Texas Tech $6.2K
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
same side · consensus Grizzlies
——Nets $5.3KNets $134
North Texas vs. UTSA: O/U 75.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $4.4KOver $549
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos
same side · consensus New Mexico Lobos
——New Mexico Lobos $1.4KNew Mexico Lobos $1.3K
Texas vs. LSU: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $174Over $1.7K
Utah vs. Arizona: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3Over $1.6K
South Carolina vs. Arkansas: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $525Under $712
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
——Heat $11Heat $571
Purdue vs. Iowa: O/U 47.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $347Under $144
Bulls vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $339Over $121
Pistons vs. Heat: O/U 239.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $66Under $288
Wyoming vs. UTEP: O/U 43.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $7Over $345
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
same side · consensus Nets
——Nets $10Nets $105